Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Israel’s Revised Strategy for Hamas and Refugees

Gaza refugees. Amid stalled ceasefire talks, Israel is revising its Gaza strategy to tighten...

Europe’s Military Spending Spree Shakes Up Arms Market

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(click to enlarge) Europe has sharply increased defense spending in response to Russian aggression and doubt about U.S. credibility. In 2024, European defense budgets rose...

Russia’s Severe Labor Crunch

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(click to enlarge) The Kremlin needs higher production to meet the needs of the domestic economy, sustain exports and supply the military, but a severe...

Trade Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

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(click to enlarge) Last year, several countries across Latin America and the Caribbean saw substantial swings in export numbers. Argentina experienced an 18.1 percent increase...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

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(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The...

Latest Analysis

Israel’s Minority Alliance Strategy

After the dramatic fall of Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria, Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar said Israel must understand that it will always be...

A New Asian Bloc in the Making?

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Senior officials from China, South Korea and Japan will soon meet in Tokyo to...

The Risks of the United States’ Latin America Policy

The past couple of months have shown, for better or worse, that Latin America...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Limits of a US-Russia Detente

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are linked, at least in U.S....

Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the...

Vietnam’s Plan to Become a Middle Power

Vietnam and Indonesia last week elevated their bilateral relationship to a so-called comprehensive strategic...

Europe Faces Defining Moment in Its Defense Strategy

NATO military chiefs and European defense ministers gathered in Paris last week to coordinate...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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A New Asian Bloc in the Making?

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Senior officials from China, South Korea and Japan will soon meet in Tokyo to try to establish a more formal relationship, replete with security...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Daily Memo: Renewed Fighting in Gaza, Speculation on Trump-Putin Meeting

Hitting Hamas. Israel on Tuesday carried out its largest airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza since both sides agreed to a ceasefire in January....

Vietnam’s Plan to Become a Middle Power

Vietnam and Indonesia last week elevated their bilateral relationship to a so-called comprehensive strategic partnership, committing to deeper economic cooperation, the removal of barriers...

Russia’s Severe Labor Crunch

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(click to enlarge) The Kremlin needs higher production to meet the needs of the domestic economy, sustain exports and supply the military, but a severe...

Daily Memo: Trump and Putin to Talk, US and Iran Trade Words Over Houthis

Disagreements on details. U.S. President Donald Trump said significant progress had been made toward ending the Russia-Ukraine war and that he plans to speak...

Europe Faces Defining Moment in Its Defense Strategy

NATO military chiefs and European defense ministers gathered in Paris last week to coordinate policies on European security and continued support for Ukraine. The...

America in Transition: George Friedman on Trump’s First 50 Days

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As we edge over the halfway point of Donald Trump's first 100 days in his second term in office, it's possible we're seeing the start of America’s terminal decline or its regeneration, depending on which side of the line you're on. While the US has been busily announcing the end of the post-World War II global order abroad, at home, the president seems to be even more rapidly trying to upend the status quo. In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss what to make of Trump’s first 50 days in office in the wider context of American history.

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America in Transition &
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