Iran: Elite Paralysis and Systemic Decay

Protests, institutional gridlock and a degraded IRGC are converging around the critical question of what comes after Khamenei.

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With the 47th anniversary of its founding just around the corner, the Islamic Republic of Iran is spiraling deeper into systemic instability. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader for the past 36 years, who turns 87 in April, is ailing and politically weakened. Delicate efforts to manage succession have been thrown off course by an […]

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Kamran Bokhari
Kamran Bokhari, PhD, is a regular contributor to and former senior analyst (2015-2018) with Geopolitical Futures. Dr. Bokhari is now the Senior Director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy in Washington, DC. Dr. Bokhari is also a national security and foreign policy specialist at the University of Ottawa’s Professional Development Institute. He has served as the Coordinator for Central Asia Studies at the U.S. Department of State’s Foreign Service Institute. Follow him on X (formerly Twitter) at @Kamran Bokhari