Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Putin on Monetary Policy, Global Refugee Numbers

Russian rates. Russian President Vladimir Putin said there were grounds to expect a cut...

Europe Drifts Closer to Stagnation

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(click to enlarge) According to Eurostat's estimates, economic growth in the European Union remained positive but slowed during the first quarter of 2026. Seasonally adjusted...

Colombia’s Presidential Race

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(click to enlarge) Colombia will hold presidential elections on May 31, with a runoff on June 21 if no candidate wins an outright majority. The...

China’s Lackluster Economic Data

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(click to enlarge) China’s economy continues to face a difficult balance as weak domestic demand, a prolonged property downturn and external geopolitical risks weigh on...

Lingering Volatility in Energy Markets

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook, energy markets remain highly volatile amid the Iran war and continued disruption risks in...

Russia’s Chechnya Problem

By Andrew Ryvkin For over a century, Chechnya has been Russia’s most volatile republic. Rumored...

Lebanon on the Brink

On June 8, U.S. President Donald Trump intervened to halt the latest escalation in...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

Daily Memo: Kim and Xi Meet, Cuba Makes Preparations

Expanding ties. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Chinese President Xi Jinping pledged...

George Answers Your Questions: Israel’s Strategic Problem

Israel’s Strategic Problem June 2, 2026 Question: What accommodation does a country seek with those who...

Russia’s Limitations in the Caucasus

Parliamentary elections will be held in Armenia on June 7. The Civil Contract party,...

Daily Memo: Hungary-Ukraine Deal, Iraqi Disarmament Plans

One step closer. Hungary and Ukraine have reached a deal that could pave the...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures
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George Answers Your Questions: Israel’s Strategic Problem

Israel’s Strategic Problem June 2, 2026 Question: What accommodation does a country seek with those who want to destroy it? I’m not being rhetorical. Response: The first...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

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Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Reflecting on D-Day

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I am writing this on June 6, 2026, 82 years after Gen. Dwight Eisenhower ordered Operation Overlord. That order – and the operation’s success...

George Answers Your Questions: Israel’s Strategic Problem

Israel’s Strategic Problem June 2, 2026 Question: What accommodation does a country seek with those who want to destroy it? I’m not being rhetorical. Response: The first...

Daily Memo: Developments in Lebanon and Iran

Next step. The Lebanese army will begin deploying to “pilot zones” in the country’s south as part of a ceasefire agreement with Israel reached...

Russia’s Limitations in the Caucasus

Parliamentary elections will be held in Armenia on June 7. The Civil Contract party, led by current Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who has been...

US-Israel Alliance in Crisis: George Friedman Explains

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Does Donald Trump’s tirade to Benjamin Netanyahu signal the fracture of the historic alliance between the United States and Israel? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the evolution of US-Israeli relations, their diverging interests in the Middle East, and how Israel’s strategic burden spells trouble for regional accommodation. Also: Netanyahu’s political future.

US-Israel Alliance in Crisis: George Friedman Explains

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Does Trump’s tirade to Netanyahu signal the fracture of the historic alliance between the United States and Israel? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the evolution of US-Israeli relations, their diverging interests in the Middle East, and how Israel’s strategic burden spells trouble for regional accommodation. Also: Netanyahu’s political future.