George Friedman’s Thoughts: The Origin and Future of a Book

My new book has finally been published. Of all the books I have written, this one took the longest. I conceived the principles around which it would be built – the idea of cycles guiding the United States – in a bar in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, sometime in the winter of 1975. I know it was winter because it was cold. I was drinking with two friends from the U.S. Army War College, also known as Carlisle Barracks. It was the base from which George Washington reviewed the troops moving west to crush the Whiskey Rebellion in western Pennsylvania. The rebellion was about the authority of the federal government and the Constitution, and it was at the beginning of our first cycle, when institutions and society were in danger of collapsing, and the republic in danger of failing as it was born. This wasn’t the subject of our despair that night. Richard Nixon had gone, Gerald Ford was a non-entity, Vietnam had been lost, and the U.S. military was held in contempt by many. There was a Soviet exercise underway (just another exercise that armies have) and we elevated it to a world historical event. The Soviets knew we were weak […]

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George Friedman

George Friedman is an internationally recognized geopolitical forecaster and strategist on international affairs and the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures.

Dr. Friedman is also a New York Times bestselling author. His most recent book, THE STORM BEFORE THE CALM: America’s Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond, published February 25, 2020 describes how “the United States periodically reaches a point of crisis in which it appears to be at war with itself, yet after an extended period it reinvents itself, in a form both faithful to its founding and radically different from what it had been.” The decade 2020-2030 is such a period which will bring dramatic upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture.

His most popular book, The Next 100 Years, is kept alive by the prescience of its predictions. Other best-selling books include Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe, The Next Decade, America’s Secret War, The Future of War and The Intelligence Edge. His books have been translated into more than 20 languages.

Dr. Friedman has briefed numerous military and government organizations in the United States and overseas and appears regularly as an expert on international affairs, foreign policy and intelligence in major media. For almost 20 years before resigning in May 2015, Dr. Friedman was CEO and then chairman of Stratfor, a company he founded in 1996. Friedman received his bachelor’s degree from the City College of the City University of New York and holds a doctorate in government from Cornell University.