Gaza Deaths and Strategic Possibilities

For all the talk of Iranian nuclear weapons, this is an early stage of the real Iranian threat – a war of attrition against Israel.

|April 2, 2018

By George Friedman

Israeli troops killed 17 Palestinian demonstrators in Gaza on March 30. Israel claimed that the demonstrators were armed with Molotov cocktails and other weapons and that the majority of those killed were terrorists. The Palestinians claimed that they were unarmed demonstrators demanding their human rights. Which side is right is academic. The hard fact is that the Israel-Gaza frontier, after an extended period of relative quiet, has become more active in recent months, and the Israelis have devoted substantial military assets to control the border.

The events in Gaza have to be viewed in a broader strategic context. There were unconfirmed reports last weekend that the Israeli air force bombed Hezbollah forces operating on the Lebanon-Syria border. Surveillance of Lebanon and attacks on Hezbollah forces near or in Syria are not new, but a pattern is emerging. All of Israel’s frontiers have become, or threaten to become, active. In Syria, Iran has substa

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