Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Israeli Strike Targets Syrian Airports

Israeli airstrikes. Israel launched airstrikes against two airports in Syria on Wednesday, the Israel...

Germany Weighs Down European Growth

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(click to enlarge) The euro area posted modest economic growth in the last quarter of 2024, with seasonally adjusted gross domestic product rising 0.2 percent...

Europe’s Military Spending Spree Shakes Up Arms Market

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(click to enlarge) Europe has sharply increased defense spending in response to Russian aggression and doubt about U.S. credibility. In 2024, European defense budgets rose...

Russia’s Severe Labor Crunch

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(click to enlarge) The Kremlin needs higher production to meet the needs of the domestic economy, sustain exports and supply the military, but a severe...

Trade Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

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(click to enlarge) Last year, several countries across Latin America and the Caribbean saw substantial swings in export numbers. Argentina experienced an 18.1 percent increase...

Latest Analysis

China’s Strategic Desperation and Taiwan Drills

China’s attempts to manage its economic downturn and prevent it from becoming a political crisis have hit a major obstacle: the shift in U.S....

Defense Industry Winners and Losers Amid Trump Tariffs

For years, Europe has been notoriously slow in developing a coherent strategy for its...

How the US Forced Russia’s Failure

On Sunday, The New York Times published an article so long and so significant...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Geopolitical Context of the Ukraine Talks

As negotiations continue between Russia and the United States over the conflict in Ukraine,...

Japan’s Slow-Moving Security Independence From the US

Tokyo is reportedly considering the deployment of long-range missiles on Kyushu, the southwesternmost of...

The Asian Aspect of the US-Russia Detente

The ongoing diplomacy between the United States and Russia suggests that the conflict in...

US and Russia Find Common Ground in the Middle East

The United States and Russia held their third round of talks on Ukraine in...
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How the US Forced Russia’s Failure

On Sunday, The New York Times published an article so long and so significant that it merits unpacking here. Its author, Times investigative reporter...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Daily Memo: Putin’s Proposal for Regime Change in Ukraine

Putin's proposal. Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed that Ukraine be placed under temporary U.N.-led management in order to hold elections that could lead to...

Japan’s Slow-Moving Security Independence From the US

Tokyo is reportedly considering the deployment of long-range missiles on Kyushu, the southwesternmost of Japan’s main islands, by early 2026. Because the island faces...

Daily Memo: Unrest Continues in Gaza

Gaza protests. Gaza residents have launched rare protests against Hamas, expressing growing frustration as the war with Israel continues. Demonstrators accused Hamas of dragging civilians into...

The Asian Aspect of the US-Russia Detente

The ongoing diplomacy between the United States and Russia suggests that the conflict in Ukraine will, at some point, come to an end. That...

Daily Memo: Black Sea Deal, Visit to Moscow

Limited deal. The United States reached separate agreements with Russia and Ukraine on a ceasefire in the Black Sea, following talks in Riyadh this...

US and Russia Find Common Ground in the Middle East

The United States and Russia held their third round of talks on Ukraine in Riyadh this week, reportedly focused on a ceasefire in the...

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