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Europe and the Ukraine Crisis

George Friedman -
Last week, the European Union’s highest court ruled that Brussels can withhold funding from member states that violate the rule of law, slapping down...

Is an Invasion of Ukraine Imminent?

George Friedman -
Over the past few days, the United States has warned that a Russian invasion of Ukraine may be imminent. The chairman of the Joint...

America’s Wars and Failures

George Friedman -
Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...

Russia, US and Ukraine: The State of Play

George Friedman -
When nations negotiate, a quiet settles in before the threats begin. Such is the case now between the U.S. and Russia, which will soon...

The Russian Treaty Proposal

George Friedman -
We have been operating with a model of Russia. Having lost its non-Russian territories with the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia is missing...

The Republic of COVID-19

George Friedman -
The emergence of the omicron variant drives home an essential point: There is no evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will end. It might, but...

Russia and Ukraine: War or Bluff?

George Friedman -
Two weeks ago, I wrote an analysis of Russian strategy titled “Russia’s Move.” Here’s a brief recap: When the Soviet Union collapsed, it lost...

The Debate Over America First

George Friedman -
Since the 1930s, there has been a debate in the United States over a foreign policy based on “America First,” a nationalistic policy that...

Russia’s Move

George Friedman -
Russia is not a trustful country – for good reason. Germany invaded it twice in the 20th century, France invaded it once in the...

Canada, Mexico and America’s Reality

George Friedman -
The United States lives in a fundamentally unique geopolitical reality. It’s the only major power that doesn’t face the risk of a land war,...

Prince Charles Says We Are Dead Meat

George Friedman -
Prince Charles has announced that the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Glasgow will be “the last chance saloon” for the planet. The COP26, as...

Forecasting Time

George Friedman -
Around November each year, we at GPF begin our forecasting process for the coming year. In a real sense, we are always forecasting, as...
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