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Struggling to Find the Exit From War

George Friedman -
French President Emmanuel Macron said last week that an off-ramp must be found for Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. This is not a...

America’s Interests in Ukraine

George Friedman -
Nearly every time Russia has been invaded, it has been saved by its strategic depth. Russia can’t truly be defeated without first taking Moscow,...

A New, Old Global Reality

George Friedman -
The United States recently said that it would defend Taiwan in the event China invades it. More interesting is that Japan, a country that...

Ode to France

George Friedman -
Paris, where my wife and I are spending some time, is a city that must be walked, preferably without a map or destination. Like...

How the Ukraine War May End

George Friedman -
Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now. That’s not an especially long time. The Korean War lasted...

The Beginning of a New Era

George Friedman -
A week ago, I wrote a piece on the stages of history, pointing out systemic shifts that have taken place for more than 200...

The Ukraine War, Redefined

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine began under a faulty assumption shared by many, including the United States, that if Russia invaded, it would defeat Ukraine,...

The World and a Small War

George Friedman -
No war is small when you are living in it, but the world is large, and large wars are rare. At the same time,...

Time For Putin’s Hail Mary Pass

George Friedman -
Alexander Dvornikov isn’t exactly a household name, but it could be soon. He’s the Russian general President Vladimir Putin has put in charge of...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

George Friedman -
As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...

The Emerging Order

George Friedman -
I am writing this from Dubai, on a trip I will describe on my return to the United States. A summit was held in...

How the Ukrainian Battlefield Redefines the World

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine is a humanitarian tragedy to be sure, but that’s not why it has commanded the world’s attention. After all, there...
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