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Germany, May 8, 1945

George Friedman - May 4, 2021

On May 8, 1945, Germany formally declared defeat in World War II. As others have said, there was one war in Europe that began...

Anzac Day, Memorial Day and the Geopolitics of a Friendship

George Friedman - April 27, 2021

In history, and in the history of my family, Memorial Day and Anzac Day are intimately bound. On Memorial Day, which comes next month,...

Remembering al-Qaida

George Friedman - April 20, 2021

The United States invaded Afghanistan 20 years ago, soon after the attack on Sept. 11, 2001. By 2008, then-President Barack Obama made it a...

The Unlikelihood of a War With China and Russia

George Friedman - April 14, 2021

Much has been made of China’s seemingly unending potential to invade Taiwan – nearly as much as Russia’s buildup near Ukraine, which many believe...

China as a Third World Country

George Friedman - April 6, 2021

There is much discussion about the surging Chinese economy and the expanding international influence of China. There is no question that China’s economy has...

On the Suez Canal and Chokepoints

George Friedman - March 30, 2021

I’ve often written about chokepoints – those narrow passageways, on land or at sea, that are essential for the movement of goods and people...

China’s Strategic Standpoint

George Friedman - March 16, 2021

One of the hardest problems of foreign policy is developing an accurate evaluation of a potential adversary’s intentions and capabilities, which are frequently separate...

B-52s in the Middle East

George Friedman - March 9, 2021

For all the world’s vastness and complexity, my attention is constantly drawn back to the Middle East, where there is much to think about....

The US, Iran and Bargaining Positions

George Friedman - March 2, 2021

The Iranian government has announced that it will not attend the first round of negotiations over restoring the agreement that limited its ability to...