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The World in 2025

Geopolitical Futures - February 7, 2025

Editor’s note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2025 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF for a full document. Global Forecast United States Model The United States China Russia Europe The Middle East & North Africa India

2025 Forecast: A World Without an Anchor

George Friedman - January 30, 2025

Throughout history, world order has been shaped by great powers. In the competition with them – and sometimes among them – lesser powers would...

Daily Memo: Ethiopia and Somalia Agree to Squash Feud

Geopolitical Futures - December 12, 2024

Path to peace? Ethiopia and Somalia agreed to end their feud over Addis Ababa’s signing in January of a port access deal with the...

Daily Memo: Rebels Advance in Syria

Geopolitical Futures - December 6, 2024

Advancing to Hama. The leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the insurgent group that led the rebellion against Syrian government forces in Aleppo last week,...

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Geopolitical Futures - December 4, 2024

Russian economics. Russia’s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: US Approves Longer-Range Ukrainian Strikes

Geopolitical Futures - November 18, 2024

Attack-‘ems. After months of deliberation, the U.S. reportedly has authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied ballistic missiles with a range of 300 kilometers (186 miles)...

Daily Memo: Russia Touts Engagement in Africa, China Kicks Off Airshow

Geopolitical Futures - November 13, 2024

Russia's outreach in Africa. Niger’s mining minister said on Wednesday that his government has invited Russian companies to explore natural resources, including uranium, in...

Daily Memo: US Envoy in Beirut, Australian Weapons Acquisition

Geopolitical Futures - October 22, 2024

Trip to Lebanon. A senior adviser to U.S. President Joe Biden, Amos Hochstein, arrived in Beirut on Monday for talks with Lebanese officials on...

Daily Memo: China’s Third-Quarter Economic Results

Geopolitical Futures - October 18, 2024

Slow growth. China’s gross domestic product grew by 4.6 percent year over year in the third quarter, the slowest pace of Chinese economic growth...

Daily Memo: Takeaways From ASEAN Summit

Geopolitical Futures - October 11, 2024

Thaw in relations. During a meeting with Australia's prime minister on the sidelines of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit in Laos, Chinese...

Daily Memo: Update on Israel and Lebanon, Possible Sanctions on Georgian ex-Leader

Geopolitical Futures - September 23, 2024

Escalation. Israel is intensifying its airstrikes against Hezbollah, hitting 300 targets on Monday, according to the Israeli military. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said...

Graphic Essay: Emerging Technologies

Geopolitical Futures - September 13, 2024

From the wheel to the internal combustion engine, new technologies have, for better or worse, fundamentally transformed our society. The emerging technologies listed have...

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