South Pacific

Daily Memo: The Limits of the Coronavirus, Global Security Issues, the German Economy

The grimmest estimates can be helpful for policymakers to know what they need to prepare for.

Daily Memo: Idlib Tests Turkey’s Patience, India-Australia Cooperation, North Korea Low on Cash

Turkey accused Russia of failing to live up to its promises, and the Bank of Korea said Pyongyang was running out of cash.

The Geopolitical Consequences of Australia’s Wildfires

The tragedy has been well documented, but its potential global effects have not.

Geopolitical Futures’ Forecast for 2020

Introduction A year is an arbitrary moment. It is short, its length determined by a planet’s rotation around a sun. It is merely a moment...

Forecast Tracker: 2019 Year-End Review

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t...

Daily Memo: Rising Global Debt, Lebanon’s New Prime Minister, Britain’s Foreign Policy Review

A World Bank study shows staggering levels of global debt, and the Lebanese president appoints a new prime minister.

Forecast Tracker: 2019 November Update

A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t end the trade war. On track Washington’s willingness to settle for...

Pacific Aid and Allegiances

In recent weeks, the Solomon Islands' allegiance to Taiwan appeared shaky as mainland China sought to coax the island nation into its camp. The strategically located Pacific Islands are a soft-power battleground between the U.S. and China; here, we take a closer look at the evolution of aid - a key tool for maintaining allegiances - to these islands between 2011 and 2017.

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


Special Collection – The Middle East

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now