South Pacific

Forecast Tracker: 2019 Second Quarter Update

The trade war roller coaster, the economy’s other shoe, the offensive against Iran.

Drought Hits Australian Wheat Supplies

Australia, normally a net exporter of wheat, has had to import wheat for the first time since 2007.

Australia’s Geopolitics

In the past two fragments in this series, I began to lay out the interaction between geography and the development of the United States....

Forecast Tracker: 2019 First Quarter Update

The U.S. and China negotiate on trade, Russian frustrations simmer, European economies struggle.

When and Why the Suppliers of Oil Matter

More often than not, it doesn’t matter where oil comes from. But the exceptions to this rule can be critical.

Toward a New Geopolitical Model

Note: I have received a staggering number of comments from readers on the first two installments in this series. As most of you know,...

The World in 2019: A Year on the Edge

One era is ending and another will soon begin.

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