South Pacific

Anzac Day, Memorial Day and the Geopolitics of a Friendship

In history, and in the history of my family, Memorial Day and Anzac Day are intimately bound. On Memorial Day, which comes next month,...

Daily Memo: Putin Warns the West, Prague Calls for Backup

The state of Putin’s nation. In his annual address to the Federal Assembly, Russian President Vladimir Putin covered all the usual subjects: difficulties in...

Daily Memo: China-Iran Deal, Myanmar’s New Junta Cracks Down

Budding partnership. China and Iran signed a vague, 25-year cooperation agreement during a visit by China’s foreign minister to Tehran on Saturday. Few details...

Australia’s Role in America’s War With China, Part 2

Perhaps America’s greatest operational advantage over China – should a war ever start between them – is the superiority of its submarines. Submarines are...

Daily Memo: Russia Sanctions, Indo-Pacific Deterrence

Navalny sanctions. The U.S. Treasury Department on Tuesday announced sanctions against seven Russian officials in connection with the alleged poisoning and subsequent detention of...

Australia’s Role in America’s War With China

In U.S. plans for a war with China, Australia serves as a base for peripheral operations in the Indian Ocean and in the Indonesian...

Daily Memo: Israeli Ship Explosion, Turkish Economic Growth

Pointing fingers. Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz blamed Iran for an explosion on an Israeli-owned cargo ship in the Gulf of Oman over the...

Daily Memo: Brussels’ Frustrations, Cuba’s Economic Opening

Russian resistance. EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said Russia was not interested in a “constructive dialogue with the EU” following his visit to...

Daily Memo: Global Chip Crunch Continues to Bite

Chip crunch. Ford on Thursday said it would cut production at two U.S. plants where it builds the popular F-150 next week due to...

Daily Memo: EU Vaccine Threats, Conte’s Resignation

Conte resigns. Discussions on forming a new Italian government will begin on Wednesday after Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte resigned on Tuesday. Conte has...

Daily Memo: Chinese Exports Surge, Iranian Moves Escalate Tensions

Chinese trade. Chinese exports in December jumped a whopping 18.1 percent compared with the same month a year earlier – a month that, looking...

The World in 2021

Introduction Our 2020 global forecast began as follows: Economic dysfunction will remain the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress does not simply...

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