Unrest in Washington. Supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump rushed into the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday to disrupt a vote certifying President-elect Joe Biden’s election win. Four people were killed in the ensuing unrest, including one protester who was shot by law enforcement, and 14 police officers were injured. After a brief evacuation period, Congress […]
Background: Russia made progress last year shoring up its southern and western border areas, by placing peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh and siding with Belarus’ embattled...
Beijing is mopping up in Hong Kong. At least 53 pro-democracy politicians and activists were detained Wednesday morning in the largest mass arrests since...
Introduction
Our 2020 global forecast began as follows:
Economic dysfunction will remain the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress does not simply...
Background: Ukraine and Russia are still at odds over Crimea, which was annexed by Russia in 2014. (A popular referendum later upheld the annexation.)...
Tensions around Iran. The upcoming anniversary of the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s Quds Force, is creating tensions throughout the Middle...
In a White House meeting just weeks before Donald Trump’s inauguration, then-President Barack Obama warned the president-elect that the North Korean nuclear threat would...
TAP supplies. Azerbaijan has begun to supply natural gas to southern Europe via the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline. Though the pipeline will eventually transport 10 billion...
