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Daily Memo: US, UK, Australia Forge New Security Pact

Joining forces. British, Australian and U.S. leaders announced a new security partnership for the Indo-Pacific on Wednesday. The trilateral “AUKUS” program will focus on...

Bonus Chapter: The Five Eyes

Editor’s note: In a supplementary chapter of his book “The Storm Before the Calm,” GPF founder George Friedman wrote last summer about how the...

The Rise and Fall of Political Islam in Morocco

Last week, Morocco held its 11th parliamentary elections since adopting its constitution in 1962. The Islamic Justice and Development Party (PJD), which had been...

Daily Memo: More Missile Tests

Follow-up North Korean missile tests. North Korea followed up its cruise missile tests over the weekend with a test of something more familiar: short-range...

Britain: Still Searching for Its Place in the World

In 1962, U.S. Secretary of State Dean Acheson said, “Great Britain has lost an empire but not yet found a role.” Acheson’s comment perfectly...

Daily Memo: China’s Recovery, No Chips and Surprise Trips

China’s economy sputters. A data dump coming Wednesday is expected to show slumps in several Chinese economic indicators in August, including industrial production and...

On Geoeconomics

Last week, I spoke and moderated at several conferences in person – a rare thing since the pandemic began – whose topics ranged from...

Brief: North Korea Tests a Missile and Biden

Background: North Korea has been relatively quiet for the past year or so while it deals with pandemic pressures and other internal matters, which...

Daily Memo: Pyongyang Test-Fires New Missiles, Israeli Prime Minister Visits Egypt

New missile tests. North Korea says it test-launched a pair of new long-range cruise missiles over the weekend. According to North Korean state media,...

What Rising Prices Reveal About the Russian Grain Market

Last May, the U.S. Department of Agriculture published a rather optimistic forecast for the 2021 grain harvest in Russia. It stated that Russia would...

Mercosur’s Changing Trade Patterns

(click to enlarge) In 1991, Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay established Mercosur to increase their participation in global trade and improve their negotiating positions with...

Daily Memo: Biden and Xi Talk, Nord Stream 2 Completed

Biden-Xi call. U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping held their first phone call since February. Biden’s aims were reportedly pretty modest:...
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