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Daily Memo: Discord in Serbia, Arrests in Jordan

Serbian vote. A Serbian opposition coalition called “Serbia Against Violence” demanded at a protest on Monday that the results of Sunday’s legislative elections be annulled. The ruling Serbian Progressive Party, led by President Alexander Vucic, won the election with 46.6 percent of the votes. After the results were announced, Vucic said the government would continue […]

Defining Global Economic Issues in 2024

Almost a year ago, we highlighted several trends that would define the world economy in the coming years. Briefly, they were trade and economic...

Daily Memo: EU Moves Closer to New Russia Sanctions

More sanctions. The European Union is expected to adopt a 12th package of sanctions against Russia this week after Austria agreed not to block...

A Border Dispute Pits US Interests Against Each Other

The leaders of Venezuela and Guyana met on Dec. 14 in St. Vincent and the Grenadines for talks meant to ease tensions along their...

Hezbollah Mobilizes

Hezbollah is mobilizing its forces in the south Litani area in preparation for a full-scale war with Israel. That the group will not voluntarily...

Daily Memo: Israel on a Possible Conflict With Hezbollah

Israel and Hezbollah. In talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan reportedly said the U.S. would support Israel...

2024 Annual Forecast: The United States

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Daily Memo: Putin’s Message on Ukraine, the US Open to Cooperation With Niger

Year-end review. Moscow will not end its “special military operation” in Ukraine until it meets its objectives, Russian President Vladimir Putin said during a...

Daily Memo: Asia-Pacific Growth, Waning Support for Israel

Upgrade. The Asian Development Bank upgraded its economic growth forecast for the Asia-Pacific region following higher-than-expected growth in China and India. The regional economy...

Hezbollah’s Last Stand

When Israel unilaterally withdrew from southern Lebanon in 2000, Hezbollah celebrated the event as a liberation. It later became a national holiday. When the...

Daily Memo: Israel Eyes Possible Deal, Ukrainian Attitudes Toward War

Potential deal. Israel's defense minister said his country was open to a deal with Hezbollah if it included the establishment of a safe zone...

Japan’s Strategic Investment Offensive

As Japan grows more ambitious as a regional leader, it has enhanced its diplomatic outreach accordingly. In late November, for example, reports emerged that...
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