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A Shift in Russian Wartime Policy?

Russian state-owned news agency RIA Novosti published a statement made by President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday that we regard as a significant shift in Russian foreign policy. He said the demilitarized zone in Ukraine should be pushed back farther away from Russian territories – far enough that it would be safe from “long-range weapons of […]

Daily Memo: US-Saudi Talks, Russian Rebuke

Potential pact. The United States and Saudi Arabia have resumed talks on tightening defense ties after suspending negotiations following the outbreak of the conflict...

China’s Bid to Manage the Silver Economy

From a struggling real estate sector to serious labor shortages, China is beset by problems that will require a lot of time and effort...

Daily Memo: Moscow Hosts the BRICS, Turkey and Kosovo Sign Deal

Looking ahead. During a meeting of the BRICS countries in Moscow on Tuesday, Russia’s deputy foreign minister said the group will focus on the...

Ethiopia’s Timely Sea Access Deal With Somaliland

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s announcement on Jan. 1 of a memorandum of understanding with Somaliland marked a pivotal moment in his country’s long...

The World in 2024

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2024 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

Daily Memo: Armenia Accelerates Peace Process, Japan and Germany Boost Defense Ties

Olive branch. Armenia has proposed the signing of a non-aggression pact with Azerbaijan if a peace deal is delayed, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan...

How Mexico Plans to Reclaim Its Economy

In Mexico, security and economic recovery are intertwined. Politicians and citizens alike understand that the country’s powerful criminal groups threaten both, and though they...

U.S. and Iranian Intentions

Three U.S. servicemen were killed during a drone attack last night on a military base in Jordan, located near the Syrian border. President Joe...

Daily Memo: Houthis Meet in Moscow, Israeli Defense Deal

The Houthis and the Kremlin. Representatives from Yemen’s Houthi rebels arrived in Moscow to meet with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov and discuss...

Global Forecast for the Next Year

This is not a detailed forecast of the fate of every country for 2024. Rather, it is an attempt to identify the main trends...

Daily Memo: Macron in India, US Forces in Iraq

France and India. On Thursday, French President Emmanuel Macron began a two-day visit to India, where he will meet with Prime Minister Narendra Modi....
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