Europe

2025 Forecast: Europe

The defining feature of Europe in 2025 will be political instability, complicating its ability to address immense internal and external challenges. Several states that...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Game Over for France in Africa

“I think someone forgot to say thank you.” This loaded statement, made by French President Emmanuel Macron at the 30th annual Ambassadors' Conference in Paris,...

Daily Memo: Turkey Considers Syrian Military Operation

Ankara's warning. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan warned that his country could launch a joint military operation with the new administration in Syria if...

Smoke on the Water: Maritime Tension in 2025

For all the attention paid to the world’s many terrestrial conflicts – in Ukraine, the Palestinian Territories, Syria, Myanmar and elsewhere – tensions on...

The Reason for a Second Kursk Offensive

By Andrew Davidson Ukrainian forces have launched another offensive in Russia's Kursk region following their initial assault that began last year inside Russia. Back in...

Romania Takes an Election Mulligan

Romania’s 2024 presidential election was annulled earlier this month due to foreign interference. In the first round, held on Nov. 24, independent candidate Calin...

Romania’s Shock Election Puts NATO’s Eastern Flank in Play

The first casualty of Romania’s presidential election was the opinion polls – none of which proved accurate. The second might be the country’s post-communist...

Bad Timing for a German Government Collapse

Germany – the political and economic heart of the European Union – is in the throes a major political crisis. Earlier this month, Chancellor...

What Unrest in Abkhazia Means for Moscow

Protests erupted on Nov. 11 in the capital of Abkhazia, a Russian-backed breakaway region of Georgia. The demonstrations began in response to the detention...

Graphic Essay: Energy Market Volatility

For many countries, including major geopolitical players, energy resources rank among the most politically and economically sensitive commodities. Prices for these resources are shaped...

Trump’s Approach to Europe

I intended to expand on my column from earlier this week on the conflict in the Middle East, but instead I think I’ll address...

Black Sea Region: Divided, Not Quite Conquered

Recent elections in Bulgaria, Georgia and Moldova signal a shifting power balance in the Black Sea region, where a clash between Western and Russian...

Daily Memo: Georgian Elections, British Military Reforms

Results are in. Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili vowed not to recognize the results of parliamentary elections held over the weekend that saw the governing...

Europe’s Economic Outlook: Past Changes, Future Problems

The economic news from Europe over the past month has been bleak. Throughout the eurozone, gross domestic product is either stagnant or in decline....

The Future of Drone Warfare

It’s been said for years that drones are the future of warfare. Their advantages are obvious: They are light and maneuverable and can deliver...

Latest Posts

The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

Read Regional Assessment

Read Assessment of Germany

Required Reads: Europe

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

Europe in our Memos

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Latest Posts

2025 Forecast: Europe

The defining feature of Europe in 2025 will be political instability, complicating its ability to address immense internal and external challenges. Several states that...

Daily Memo: Russian Delegation Arrives in Damascus

First trip. A Russian delegation that includes the country’s deputy foreign minister and special envoy to Syria arrived in Damascus, the first official visit...

New Hope for Lebanon

There’s a broad sense of optimism in Lebanon that the election of Joseph Aoun as president earlier this month could bring genuine change after...

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