Eurasia

Kazakhstan’s Strategic Breakout: The Abraham Accords as a Route to the High Seas

Kazakhstan’s decision last month to join the Abraham Accords carries strategic implications that extend far beyond efforts to wind down the eight-decade conflict between...

The Peculiar Economics of the Black Sea Borderland

In moments of geopolitical transition, borderlands are often the harbingers of new economic orders. They are areas of inherent tension because they mark the...

George Answers Your Questions: On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine

On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine Nov. 24, 2025 Question: Where does Belarus figure in all of this? It borders NATO in the Baltics and...

On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine

Any discussion on resolving the war in Ukraine must begin with two fundamental realities: Russia is unable to achieve its military objective to defeat...

On the Global Gen Z Protests

Over the past few months, a wave of protests led by members of Generation Z has swept over the world. They have largely taken...

George Answers Your Questions: Russia’s Vast Borders, US Intelligence on Drug Smuggling

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine Nov. 11, 2025 Question: Why do you conclude with the statement that Russia has neither the ability nor interest to act on...

A New Map of the Arctic

U.S. lawmakers are reportedly moving this week to formally establish a senior diplomatic role known as ambassador-at-large for Arctic affairs – a position created...

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine

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Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump met in Washington with the leaders of Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan – all former members of...

Russia’s New War of Attrition

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A battle is raging in Pokrovsk, located in the eastern Ukrainian region of Donetsk. It is part of Russia's attempt to encircle Ukrainian forces...

Why Washington’s Adversaries Must Find Accommodation

China, Russia and Iran have certain geopolitical imperatives they can’t achieve without first reaching some kind of accommodation with the United States. Beijing needs...

In Germany, an Industrial Strategy in Disguise

At the end of October, Germany’s Federal Statistical Office reported that the economy flatlined in the third quarter of 2025. Growth for the year...

Why Russia Could Withstand New Sanctions

On Oct. 22, the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control imposed sanctions against Russian companies Rosneft and Lukoil, as well as several...

George Answers Your Questions: The United States, Venezuela, Cuba and the Caribbean

First, I must apologize for an error in last week’s piece. The Florida Straits are not the only exit from the Gulf of Mexico....

A Divided Ukraine and European Security

A few months from now will mark the fourth anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, which started a war that has redefined European...

Ukraine as Viewed From Warsaw and Washington

Last week, I traveled to Washington, D.C., following a visit to Warsaw the week before. Both trips centered on Ukraine and how the war...

A Realist View of Europe’s ‘Drone Wall’

European capitals and NATO partners are getting serious about a “drone wall” for Europe’s eastern flank. Public pressure and a series of recent incursions...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

Required Reads: Eurasia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Latest Posts

George Answers Your Questions: On America’s Reliability, Immigration and Education

Note: A reminder to send in questions and comments for George to answer. He can’t answer them if you don’t send them in –...

Understanding Sudan’s Forgotten Civil War

Sudan's years-long civil war can be traced back to the fall of former Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir in 2019. Though it still rages on, with the attention of the Western world focused on places like Ukraine, Gaza and the United States, the struggles in Sudan have become the war the world has forgotten. What continues to drive the conflict, were does it stand now, and how can it finally be resolved? Senior Analyst Hilal Khashan and Analyst Ronan Wordsworth joined host Christian Smith to examine it all for our latest episode of ClubGPF Podcast+.

Global Growth Continues Its Descent

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(click to enlarge) According to the latest U.N. Trade and Development Report, global economic sentiment remains negative. Output growth is still slowing, and the dominant...

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