Coup in Turkey


July 15, 2016 The military has claimed a takeover of the government.

Chinese Military Movements and North Korea

April 11, 2017 Reports suggest Chinese army personnel may be mobilizing.

Erdoğan Appears to Regain Control in Turkey


July 16, 2016 The president appears to have control of the government after a coup attempt.

Iraqi Army Pushes Ahead in Fallujah

June 17, 2016 IS’ retreat from the city will not weaken its control over its core territory.

Putin Fires Ally

Aug. 12, 2016 This comes amid significant reshuffling in Moscow.

A Big Surprise in the Battle for Raqqa

June 6, 2017 The offensive, launched June 6, could indicate a new understanding between Moscow and Washington. 

EU Leaves Trade Deal Approval to Members


July 5, 2016 This shift indicates member states are taking back control over key decisions from the bloc.

Turkey and the US Converging on Syria

May 23, 2016 The Americans are hoping the Turks will play a larger role in Syria.

Euroskeptic Party Makes Big Gains in Italian Election

June 20, 2016 Voters are frustrated by the country’s economic problems and relationship with the EU.

Update on Major Forecasts

June 6, 2016 Developments in Germany, China and Kazakhstan indicate our forecast is on track.

Turkey Attack Linked to Islamic State in Central Asia

June 30, 2016 Uzbek and Kyrgyz suicide bombers show that IS has increased its influence in the volatile region.