The Strategy Behind the Nice Attack


July 14, 2016 The purpose of terror is to terrify.

Chinese Military Movements and North Korea

April 11, 2017 Reports suggest Chinese army personnel may be mobilizing.

A Big Surprise in the Battle for Raqqa

June 6, 2017 The offensive, launched June 6, could indicate a new understanding between Moscow and Washington. 

Putin Fires Ally

Aug. 12, 2016 This comes amid significant reshuffling in Moscow.

Erdoğan Appears to Regain Control in Turkey


July 16, 2016 The president appears to have control of the government after a coup attempt.

Euroskeptic Party Makes Big Gains in Italian Election

June 20, 2016 Voters are frustrated by the country’s economic problems and relationship with the EU.

Turkey and the US Converging on Syria

May 23, 2016 The Americans are hoping the Turks will play a larger role in Syria.

Iraqi Army Pushes Ahead in Fallujah

June 17, 2016 IS’ retreat from the city will not weaken its control over its core territory.

Turkey Attack Linked to Islamic State in Central Asia

June 30, 2016 Uzbek and Kyrgyz suicide bombers show that IS has increased its influence in the volatile region.

EU Leaves Trade Deal Approval to Members


July 5, 2016 This shift indicates member states are taking back control over key decisions from the bloc.

Update on Major Forecasts

June 6, 2016 Developments in Germany, China and Kazakhstan indicate our forecast is on track.