HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

India, Pakistan, Diplomacy and War

George Friedman - May 13, 2025

Clashes broke out last week between Pakistan and India after a militant group – purportedly backed by Pakistan – attacked an India-controlled area of Kashmir. These kinds of affairs are common, especially for historic rivals who share a border, but the nature of this particular conflict illustrates recent changes in how diplomacy and militaries operate. […]

George Answers Your Questions: European Identity

George Friedman - May 10, 2025

Dear Subscriber, Every letter sent in reaction to articles we write is read by us all on the team. And last week, we began a...

Europe? What’s That?

George Friedman - May 5, 2025

Europe has become a lightning rod in the United States lately, particularly with regard to the U.S.’ desire to stop guaranteeing European security. It’s...

How Wars End

George Friedman - April 28, 2025

Wars – which I will define broadly as matters of military conflict sustained partly by the nature of the soldiers fighting and partly by...

The Trump-Putin Negotiations

George Friedman - April 22, 2025

I normally avoid personalizing geopolitical events, since I regard nations, not leaders, to be the agents of history. But there are moments when the...

Adam Smith, Economics, Finance and Geopolitics

George Friedman - April 14, 2025

Adam Smith defined how we think about free markets. His guiding principle was, famously, the invisible hand – a mystical force or the hand...

The Geopolitics of Tariffs

George Friedman - April 7, 2025

There are two analytic principles worth repeating before delving into the raft of tariffs the Trump administration issued last week. The first is that...

How the US Forced Russia’s Failure

George Friedman - April 1, 2025

On Sunday, The New York Times published an article so long and so significant that it merits unpacking here. Its author, Times investigative reporter...