HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The State of the War in Ukraine

A month and a half ago, right after the attempted Wagner coup, there appeared to be chaos in Moscow, with the future of President...

Thinking About School

This is the place where I give myself the option of looking at my memories rather than solely geopolitics, so forgive me for this...

Five Eyes in Our Time

A few years ago, I was invited to a military meeting in Australia. When I walked into the room, I expected to see Australian...

Giving Birth to a Book

As some of you may recall, I am in the process of writing a book. I have done this eight times, and each time...

Poland as a Great Power

In my book “The Next 100 Years,” which was published in 2009, I argued that Poland would become a dominant power in Continental Europe...

Is Someone Out There?

Democrat Sen. Chuck Schumer and Republican Sen. Mike Rounds are filing legislation demanding that the federal government reveal the files on what it knows...

Return to Forecasting – ‘Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe’

As I hope you will remember, last month I had been writing about the process of forecasting, sharing with our subscribers the process we...

Forecasting Russia

The points below are drawn from my book, "The Next 100 Years," which was published in 2009. In the points that follow, I try...

Predictions on Russia, Wagner and Ukraine

Given circumstances, I decided to combine my ongoing series on forecasting methods with current events in Ukraine. The source book is “Flashpoints: The Emerging...

Where Does Russia Stand Now?

There has been a great deal of talk that the Wagner Group's attempted insurrection over the weekend may have weakened Russian President Vladimir Putin....

How to Read a Nation’s Intentions

Last week, several readers challenged my assertion that China was acting out of fear of the United States. They said the U.S. had in...

Forecasts From ‘The Next 100 Years’: Al-Qaida and China

“The Next 100 Years” is the first book I wrote that was intended to be a serious forecasting book. Others followed, but this perfected...

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