From the Desk of George Friedman

Dec. 28, 2016 Russia’s recent military adventures have mostly aimed to create an illusion of strength.

Dec. 21, 2016 Israelis have benefited from not being a main focus in the Middle East.

Dec. 16, 2016 The president-elect’s ability to make changes depends on whether his support rises or falls.

Dec. 7, 2016 It has become rare for top military officers to stand up to their civilian leaders.

Nov. 30, 2016 A new political dichotomy is replacing the old left vs. right divide.

Nov. 17, 2016 Winning the war leads to the inevitable problem of running the country.

Nov. 9, 2016 His victory proves he – and the class of voters who elected him – cannot be overlooked.

Nov. 1, 2016 U.S. history has left Americans unsettled even in prosperous times.

Oct. 25, 2016 Russia’s appearance of strength is eroding.

Oct. 18, 2016 The candidate has not shifted her strategy to respond to the changing reality in the international system.

Oct. 11, 2016 A look back at past turbulent times reveals the U.S. has seen elections like this before.

Oct. 4, 2016 Moscow’s ability to back up its rhetoric is questionable.