Three U.S. servicemen were killed during a drone attack last night on a military base in Jordan, located near the Syrian border. President Joe Biden has blamed Iran-backed militias, who have engaged in tit-for-tat strikes on U.S. forces for months but until today had been careful not to escalate too dramatically. To understand how this […]
I have written a great deal about socio-economic cycles but far less on institutional cycles, specifically how the fourth institutional cycle in American history...
The trilateral security partnership comprising the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia – known simply as AUKUS – is among the most interesting...
Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...
The Philippines has long been an important component of Washington’s alliance network in the Asia-Pacific. Its geography is such that Manila can help to...
Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...