HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Friedman’s Thoughts: From the Carpathians to Virginia

George Friedman - January 30, 2020

Last week, I wrote about two brothers who lived as enemies and stopped speaking to each other. They believed, and others concurred, that the breach between them was political because they were loyal to opposing political parties. On the surface, this explanation for their rift seemed reasonable, but when you step back, you realize that […]

The Fragmentation of the European Union

George Friedman - January 28, 2020

At the end of this week, the United Kingdom, the second-largest economy in Europe, will exit the European Union. Meanwhile, Poland is under intense...

Methodology and Empathetic Analysis

George Friedman - January 23, 2020

I have spent a great deal of time trying to lay the groundwork for an approach to understanding the relations between nations. I was...

Russia’s Puzzling Moves

George Friedman - January 21, 2020

Over the past few weeks, two odd things have happened in Russia. The first is that Russian President Vladimir Putin has restructured the government....

Returning to the Beginning

George Friedman - January 16, 2020

In recent weeks, I have been writing on the very ordinary but precious moments of my life. I wrote about the complexity of my...

Evaluating the Importance of Recent Events

George Friedman - January 14, 2020

There are moments when the entire world seems to be coming apart, as if Armageddon itself were upon us. Public attention tends to be...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: On Vacations

George Friedman - January 9, 2020

As you read this, I am lying on a lounge on a tropical beach, living in a pseudo hut with a private pool and...

Iranian and American Strategies After Soleimani

George Friedman - January 6, 2020

Iran has expressed outrage at the killing of Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s Quds Force, and has announced a resumption of its nuclear...

Iran and the United States: What Comes Next

George Friedman - January 6, 2020

In order to understand the current confrontation between Iran and the United States, we might begin with the Persian-Babylonian wars. Alternatively, we could begin...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: A Speech in Istanbul

George Friedman - January 2, 2020

Turkey's decision to move its economic zone in the Eastern Mediterranean to abut Libya’s and then to announce that it was planning to send...

Turkey Makes Its Move

George Friedman - December 31, 2019

In “The Next 100 Years,” I described Turkey as an emerging regional power that would over time extend its sphere of influence to resemble...

North Korea and the Threat of ICBMs

George Friedman - December 24, 2019

Rumors have been swirling that North Korea is about to test an intercontinental ballistic missile. The source for this latest rumor is U.S. intelligence,...

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