From the Desk of George Friedman

It is the evil that you do to achieve the good that haunts any nation.

The German chancellor has suggested that increasing corporate mergers could help European companies compete globally.

A new military exercise reminds us of a battle that never was.

Washington claims Moscow violated an arms control treaty.

It is hard to imagine an Arab alliance that can cohere as a military giant.

The U.S. no longer wants to manage its problems primarily through force.

The government in Tehran made its move. Now, it’s being boxed in.

It’s dangerous to pine for a time that never really was.

Sometimes the smallest and most obscure places generate the most concern among major powers.

The myth of disengagement derives from American rhetoric and not American actions.

Perhaps this time is different.

The crisis is part of a systemic problem that rapidly emerging powers frequently encounter.