HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Answers Your Questions: Putin’s Dilemma

Putin’s Dilemma July 22, 2025 Question: Do you think either of these are likely to happen? Russia will have in the future a paradigm shift that brings it closer to the West and that Ukraine will precipitate the shift. Unless there is a coup in Russia, which is unlikely, Putin will keep the Ukrainian territory […]

Putin’s Dilemma

In analyzing the process by which the Russia-Ukraine war will end, the most critical factor, as I have argued before, is that by not...

George Answers Your Questions: Floods and Demographics

Floods in the Texas Hill Country: Reflections on a Catastrophe July 14, 2025 Question: You’ve written that the lack of warning on the flooding was due...

Floods in the Texas Hill Country: Reflections on a Catastrophe

A little over a week ago, the Guadalupe River in the Texas Hill Country went berserk, as rivers sometimes do in this area, killing...

George Answers Your Questions: Demographic Crisis

The Nearing Crisis of Demographics July 8, 2025 Question: You have pointed out the problem of labor shortage caused by the need to care for the...

The Nearing Crisis of Demographics

There are moments when I am exhausted by crises that come and go, and remember the next real existential crisis of humanity. It puts...

George Answers Your Questions: Trump’s Diplomacy, U.S. Constitution

Trump's Diplomatic Model June 30, 2025 Question: Comment 1. Clearly, while your world insights eclipse most anyone’s I encourage you to not fall into the hate Donald...

Trump’s Diplomatic Model

U.S. President Donald Trump has developed a clear model for exercising diplomacy. He begins by making demands of other nations, then calls for negotiations....

George Answers Your Questions: War and the Constitution

War and the Constitution June 23, 2025 Question: Hasn’t the U.S. technically been at war with Iran since 1979 (embassy invasion, hostages, etc.)? What about the...

War and the Constitution

The U.S. attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities has raised an important constitutional issue. The U.S. Constitution gives Congress the authority to declare war. It...

George Answers Your Questions: Ukraine and Russia, Israel and Iran

Ukraine and Russia, Israel and Iran: Searching for the Significant June 16, 2025 Question: What are the pros and cons for Israel of circulating that they...

Ukraine and Russia, Israel and Iran: Searching for the Significant

The Ukrainian drone attack on Russia at the beginning of this month and the Israeli attack on Iran have some striking similarities. 1. Both attacks...

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