HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Russia and China, Nukes and Alliances

Last week, Moscow revived an oft-repeated threat to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Their use, of course, requires a few important things. They must...

Putinā€™s Peace Plan

Under President Vladimir Putin, Russia invaded Ukraine under the assumption that Ukraineā€™s defeat would be rapid and complete, bringing Russia to NATOā€™s eastern border....

A Government Shakeup in Moscow

The Russian government announced last week a massive shakeup of its senior staff. Several ministers in civilian sectors such as energy, agriculture, industry and...

The Logic of Hungary

A couple of weeks ago, I wrote a piece about mass demonstrations in Budapest in which protesters expressed resentment against alleged financial corruption running...

The Crisis of the University

In my book ā€œThe Storm Before the Calm,ā€ I wrote that the United States is headed into institutional and socio-economic crises. The institutional crisis,...

Putin and the Insanity Gambit

When I was in graduate school, a small group of my peers and I spent considerable time examining the circumstances under which it would...

For the US, 2024 Isnā€™t 1973

Editorā€™s note: The rash of student protests throughout the United States is, however you feel about them, a result of Americaā€™s unwavering support for...

Beijingā€™s View of the Chinese Economy

At an economic forum last week in Shanghai, a senior Chinese government adviser named Liu Yuanchun, who is also the president of the Shanghai...

US Strategy and the Iran Strike

The U.S. has adopted a national strategy designed to use force without risking casualties of its own. This strategy has been on full display...

The Hungarian Crisis

Viktor Orban governed Hungary from 1998 to 2002 and again from 2010 to the present. In that time, he has dominated Hungarian politics and,...

Geopolitics and the Moon

The moon will soon totally eclipse the sun ā€“ an event rare enough to be measured in centuries. This is a suitable occasion, then,...

Our Trip to the Western Pacific

My wife and I are returning from a six-week trip spanning New Zealand, Australia and Japan. The tripā€™s purposes were both personal and work-related....

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