HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

China as a Third World Country

George Friedman - April 6, 2021

There is much discussion about the surging Chinese economy and the expanding international influence of China. There is no question that China’s economy has...

The Problem With Face Masks and Vaccinations

George Friedman - April 2, 2021

On Thursday, my wife and I got our second COVID-19 vaccination. I would like to go to a bar, strike up a conversation with...

On the Suez Canal and Chokepoints

George Friedman - March 30, 2021

I’ve often written about chokepoints – those narrow passageways, on land or at sea, that are essential for the movement of goods and people...

Russia, China and the United States: First Shots

George Friedman - March 23, 2021

Any time there is a new U.S. president, major powers set out to test him and lay the groundwork for future bargaining in potential...

Poetry and Forecasting

George Friedman - March 19, 2021

Earlier this week, I wrote an analysis about China’s strategy, the kind of piece that is what is expected in this industry. I end...

China’s Strategic Standpoint

George Friedman - March 16, 2021

One of the hardest problems of foreign policy is developing an accurate evaluation of a potential adversary’s intentions and capabilities, which are frequently separate...

A Good Man Is Hard to Find

George Friedman - March 11, 2021

Last week, I wrote about the disagreement over which course the United States should take in the fight against the coronavirus. I concluded by...

B-52s in the Middle East

George Friedman - March 9, 2021

For all the world’s vastness and complexity, my attention is constantly drawn back to the Middle East, where there is much to think about....

COVID-19 and the American Climax

George Friedman - March 4, 2021

On Tuesday, I received my first COVID-19 vaccine dose by driving over 100 miles to Waco, Texas, to a CVS Pharmacy where the vaccine...

The US, Iran and Bargaining Positions

George Friedman - March 2, 2021

The Iranian government has announced that it will not attend the first round of negotiations over restoring the agreement that limited its ability to...