HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Problem With Face Masks and Vaccinations

George Friedman - April 2, 2021

On Thursday, my wife and I got our second COVID-19 vaccination. I would like to go to a bar, strike up a conversation with a stranger, and share some lies with him. I assume this isn’t going to happen. The vaccine is incredibly successful, we’re told, which I would expect given the amount of money […]

On the Suez Canal and Chokepoints

George Friedman - March 30, 2021

I’ve often written about chokepoints – those narrow passageways, on land or at sea, that are essential for the movement of goods and people...

Russia, China and the United States: First Shots

George Friedman - March 23, 2021

Any time there is a new U.S. president, major powers set out to test him and lay the groundwork for future bargaining in potential...

Poetry and Forecasting

George Friedman - March 19, 2021

Earlier this week, I wrote an analysis about China’s strategy, the kind of piece that is what is expected in this industry. I end...

China’s Strategic Standpoint

George Friedman - March 16, 2021

One of the hardest problems of foreign policy is developing an accurate evaluation of a potential adversary’s intentions and capabilities, which are frequently separate...

A Good Man Is Hard to Find

George Friedman - March 11, 2021

Last week, I wrote about the disagreement over which course the United States should take in the fight against the coronavirus. I concluded by...

B-52s in the Middle East

George Friedman - March 9, 2021

For all the world’s vastness and complexity, my attention is constantly drawn back to the Middle East, where there is much to think about....

COVID-19 and the American Climax

George Friedman - March 4, 2021

On Tuesday, I received my first COVID-19 vaccine dose by driving over 100 miles to Waco, Texas, to a CVS Pharmacy where the vaccine...

The US, Iran and Bargaining Positions

George Friedman - March 2, 2021

The Iranian government has announced that it will not attend the first round of negotiations over restoring the agreement that limited its ability to...