HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Struggling to Find the Exit From War

George Friedman - June 7, 2022

French President Emmanuel Macron said last week that an off-ramp must be found for Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. This is not a...

Japan’s Return to History?

George Friedman - June 3, 2022

After World War II, the United States wrote a constitution for Japan that stated, in Article 9, that Japan would not maintain a military...

America’s Interests in Ukraine

George Friedman - May 31, 2022

Nearly every time Russia has been invaded, it has been saved by its strategic depth. Russia can’t truly be defeated without first taking Moscow,...

Why I Disagree With Henry Kissinger

George Friedman - May 27, 2022

Henry Kissinger recently spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, where he made two significant statements. One was that Ukraine must be...

A New, Old Global Reality

George Friedman - May 24, 2022

The United States recently said that it would defend Taiwan in the event China invades it. More interesting is that Japan, a country that...

From Paris to Vienna

George Friedman - May 20, 2022

My wife and I are still Europe, where we are scheduled to meet with Europeans working in areas in which, to my dismay, some...

Ode to France

George Friedman - May 17, 2022

Paris, where my wife and I are spending some time, is a city that must be walked, preferably without a map or destination. Like...

A Note on More Personal Considerations

George Friedman - May 13, 2022

I am writing this from the Fontainebleau hotel in Miami Beach at the beginning of a month of wandering. Meredith and I have wandered...

How the Ukraine War May End

George Friedman - May 10, 2022

Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now. That’s not an especially long time. The Korean War lasted...

Russia’s Broken Logic for Invading Ukraine

George Friedman - May 6, 2022

History shows that in war, a rapid victory doesn’t require a carefully considered justification. A country goes in, wins, and makes the case later....