HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Remembering Pearl Harbor and America First

This week was the anniversary of Pearl Harbor, an attack the United States thought impossible. Common sense dictated that Japan lacked the military sophistication to strike at the United States, so an attack on Pearl Harbor was not to be feared. But attack Japan did, imparting a few important lessons onto American policymakers and citizens […]

Peace Accords

Russia has accepted Washingtonā€™s invitation to engage in peace talks over the war in Ukraine. Both, of course, have reservations. Russiaā€™s is that it...

From the Emirates to Mars

As you receive this, we are on a flight to the United Arab Emirates. Abu Dhabi is hosting a meeting on space flight, and...

Eurasia in Crisis

Demonstrations against Beijingā€™s zero-COVID policy have surged in the past week, with people voicing their frustration at not only the lockdown measures but also...

Thanksgiving

Editor's note: To mark the American Thanksgiving holiday, we are republishing this article, originally released in 2020. Thanksgiving is a family holiday. For our family...

In Poland, Peace May Be a Bridge Too Far

Last weekend, I had the opportunity to speak to some Poles. I wonā€™t pretend that they speak for the entire country, but my impression...

A Near Miss in Poland

Perhaps the best novel by Tom Clancy, who often wrote about Cold War confrontations between the United States and the Soviet Union, was "The...

The Future of US-China Relations

Earlier this week, the G-20 summit opened in Indonesia, during which the long-awaited meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping...

Adding to the American Cycle

The votes for the U.S. midterm elections are just about counted. Democrats are delighted they didnā€™t lose as much as they expected to, and...

Negotiations

The United States has asked Ukraine to be open to negotiations with Russia, according to a report that was likely carefully leaked by U.S....

Dark Reflections on Travel

Meredith and I left Austin on Oct. 20 and went to The Citadel, where I lectured intelligence experts on intelligence. From there we went...

The Valdai Club

Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke at the Valdai Club, a Moscow-based think tank where serious matters are discussed, and where Russian policy...

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