GPF Team

Located on the Pacific coast and 120 miles (200 kilometers) southwest of Mexico City, Guerrero state had the most homicides of any state in Mexico last year. Though this can partly be attributed to geography – the state is mountainous and therefore hard to secure from the outside – it’s also due to the fact that the state was not seen as a priority during various points in Mexico’s history.

Underlying forces are pushing the two sides into a self-perpetuating cycle of zero-sum competition.

What does the future hold for the world’s political leaders? WORLD Magazine’s Marvin Olasky talks with GPF Chairman George Friedman on which global leaders will be up or down over this next year in terms of their popularity or their success.

The central government has struggled to control Guerrero, one of Mexico’s most violent states.

Three seemingly unconnected developments offer a peek into the region’s future.