GPF Team

Geopolitical Futures is a company that charts the course of the international system. It’s an ambitious mission, maybe even foolhardy, but hear us out.

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Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics

July 24, 2017 In all economic statistics, there is an inherent margin of error, which makes economic forecasting difficult.

Watch List: July 24, 2017

The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item...

Bloomberg Politics – Qatar Emir Breaks Silence on Gulf Feud, Is Open to Dialogue

“Kamran Bokhari, a senior analyst at Geopolitical Futures, said the government in Doha didn’t want to appear intransigent. ‘By being flexible, Qatar is trying to make the other side...

Watch List Findings: July 22, 2017

What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard as significant or potentially significant...

Digging Deeper Into Russia’s Slumping Grain Yields

July 21, 2017 Russia relies on wheat more than any other foodstuff as an important component of its food supply. In fact, roughly 70 percent of wheat produced in Russia annually is consumed domestically. From Siberia to the westernmost regions bordering Europe, wheat is a staple in most parts of the country.

In 2016, Russia became the world’s top grain exporter with a record production of 120 million tons of wheat, according to Russian statistics agency Rosstat. But poor weather conditions have affected this year’s production. Russia’s grain harvesting season normally starts in June, but this year, it started in July. Cold temperatures have delayed crop ripening and have slowed down field work. As a result, total output is expected to be 17 percent lower than was originally anticipated.

The Sunni Arab Crisis of Leadership

July 21, 2017 The Shiite-Sunni struggle itself is the direct result of the Sunnis’ own divisions.

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