Geopolitical Futures

(click to enlarge) Conflicts across Africa have displaced more than 45 million people, the highest number on record by the end of 2024. The crisis has grown for 13 straight...

The return of Donald Trump to the White House was always going to mean a new showdown between the world’s two largest economies. But, after spiraling tensions and escalating tariffs, last week the US and China announced that they had agreed to roll back recent measures for an initial 90 days. The agreement, which was hammered out over a weekend in Geneva, has relieved the markets. But the future of the relationship is far from settled – not least because the two sides are attempting to negotiate thorny issues concerning both their security and economic relationships side by side. So what comes next?

Tight race. A new poll indicates that Poland’s upcoming presidential runoff, set for June 1, will be a tight race. Among likely voters, 47 percent of respondents said they...

It's hard to find a region facing as much widespread turmoil as the Middle East, both historically and in the modern world. As Geopolitical Futures' contributing analyst Hilal Khashan predicts, the Middle East will continue to oscillate between established and rising regional powers, with more turbulent times ahead. Hilal joined George Friedman for this week's live discussion to focus on the Middle East, and to break down the US imperatives in the region, following Donald Trump's historic visit.

Headed for Rome. The next round of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks will be held in Rome on May 23, Iran's Foreign Ministry confirmed. Several hurdles blocking an agreement remain, however....

Growing partnership. The head of Turkey's National Intelligence Organization, Ibrahim Kalin, met on Tuesday with the Syrian president and foreign minister during an official visit to Damascus. They discussed...