Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Why US-China Relations Will Define the Next Generation (2026 Forecast Preview)

Earlier this month, Geopolitical Futures released its annual Forecast, which focuses on the most critical changes to the international order in the year to come. One of the featured predictions in this year's Forecast was on the shifting relationship between the United States and China. It is a relationship that GPF Chairman George Friedman believes will define the next generation of international relations. This week on Talking Geopolitics, George joined host Christian Smith to give a preview of this forecast, and we'll even dive into the perplexing logic of Donald Trump's will-he, won't-he attempt to take ownership of Greenland from Denmark, a NATO ally.

Daily Memo: US Drops Tariff Threat Over Greenland

Backtracking on Greenland. Following talks with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, U.S. President Donald Trump said he would not impose new tariffs on European countries that opposed a U.S. takeover...

Daily Memo: US Deployment, Russian Education

The Iran question. The U.S. reportedly deployed F-15E fighter jets to Jordan on Jan. 18. According to The Wall Street Journal, U.S. President Donald Trump has requested that his...

Daily Memo: Islamic State Militants Escape Prison in Syria

Chaos in Syria. Clashes erupted between armed groups and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces around Shaddadi prison, which holds thousands of Islamic State fighters, in the Syrian province of...

Daily Memo: Chinese Economic Results, Developments in Syria

Hitting the target. China’s economy grew by 5 percent year over year in 2025, reaching 140.19 trillion yuan ($20.15 trillion) and meeting Beijing’s target of "around 5 percent" annual...

How Demographics Complicate Iran’s Situation

(click to enlarge) In Iran, a prolonged period of high inflation has combined with a collapse in the value of the rial to produce mass unrest. Rising consumer prices steadily...

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