Geopolitical Futures

(click to enlarge) More than synthetic drugs and many plant-based drugs, cocaine production is shaped by geography. Coca, the plant from which cocaine is produced, can grow only in a...

Taiwanese defense. The Taiwanese government’s proposed defense budget for next year will reach $31 billion, or 3.32 percent of gross domestic product, according to Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai. This...

By Emmett Stern The competition between Washington and Beijing has rightly commanded much of the media’s attention lately, but it elides a deeper story playing out in the Indo-Pacific. Several...

Our theme for this year's Annual Forecast was A World Without an Anchor. As George Friedman explained earlier this year, historically, nations did not conduct themselves without aligning with or getting their bearings in relation to a power system that drove the world, an anchor. Now that we are more than halfway through 2025, this week's ClubGPF discussion is a chance to take stock of where nations are lining up, and where things will go from here. In our Q&A Session, Club members asked about the geopolitical strategy and Trump's intentions for Greenland, how much the US needs Canada to help it control the Arctic, and Ukraine's interest in joining the EU.

Meeting in Kabul. The foreign ministers of China, Afghanistan and Pakistan discussed strengthening cooperation and trade during trilateral talks in Kabul on Wednesday. China’s top diplomat, Wang Yi, emphasized...

The United States military has gone through many evolutions, from technological to structural, over the decades. Maintaining dominance in the Atlantic theatre has long remained a top strategic imperative. In a recent live discussion with our ClubGPF members, George Friedman broke down U.S. command of the seas and whether he thinks the fleet will be tested with a major war in the next decade.