Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: The ‘Taiwan Agreement,’ Russian Gas Games

Agreeing to disagree. U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping spoke Tuesday and, according to Biden, agreed to preserve the “Taiwan agreement,” an apparent reference to the long-held “One China” policy in which the U.S. officially recognizes Beijing so long as it agrees to allow Taiwan’s future to be resolved peacefully. This came […]

Daily Memo: Brussels on Brexit Renegotiation, Chinese Probes in Taiwanese Airspace

Brexit battles. The European Council approved the European Commission’s mandate to start formal negotiations over Gibraltar’s post-Brexit relationship with the EU. Meanwhile, London is still intent on renegotiating the...

Daily Memo: Pyongyang and Seoul Talking Again, Algeria Recalls Ambassador to France

Call me maybe? North Korea has reopened a crisis hotline with Seoul, again. The hotline, which Pyongyang last restored in July in what was then a sign of warming...

Cicero: Über Die Ära Nach Merkel

Mit der Bundestagswahl endet auch die Regierungszeit Angela Merkels. Als Bundeskanzlerin hat sie nicht nur deutsche, sondern auch europäische Geschichte geschrieben – im positiven wie im negativen Sinne. Wer...

Volatile Year for US Farmers

(click to enlarge) The United States is working to bring supply chains closer to home as part of its national security strategy, and although we usually think of this in...

Daily Memo: A First for Qatar

Milestone. Qatar will hold its first-ever legislative elections on Saturday. Qataris will vote for 30 of 45 members of the country’s Shura Council, which is both an advisory and...

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Population Density of Canada

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Canada is one of those countries where a vast land mass obscures the fact that the country has a relatively small population. While Canada is the second largest country in the world, its 35 million inhabitants make Canada only the 39th most populated country.

Live Updates on Ukraine War

All times are approximate local time in Kyiv (GMT+2). Friday, March 11 11:30 a.m.: The EU's foreign policy chief said the bloc would double its spending...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...