Geopolitical Futures

EU agenda. EU leaders continue to meet in Brussels to discuss whether and how to use 210 billion euros ($246 billion) in frozen Russian assets to finance Ukraine over the next two years. Ahead of Thursday’s talks, the prime minister of Belgium, where most of the frozen assets are held, restated his opposition to the […]

Escalation. U.S. President Donald Trump ordered a “total and complete blockade” of sanctioned oil tankers traveling to and from Venezuela, a week after the U.S. seized a sanctioned vessel...

For the United States, hemispheric security doesn’t just call for military dominance; it calls for the absence of anti-U.S. governments. Washington believes that by removing these governments, it can...

The year is coming to a close, and with that, GPF celebrates its 10th anniversary. For this week’s special ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman is joined by...

European commitment. The leaders of 14 European nations released a statement outlining the security guarantees that they, in addition to the United States, are willing to offer Ukraine. They...

As tensions rise between Washington and Moscow, a new chessboard is emerging—not in Eastern Europe, but in the Caribbean. From the U.S.’ war on drug cartels to Russia’s quiet buildup of influence in the region, old Cold War strategies are resurfacing in startling ways. In our recent ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman and GPF Analyst and Army veteran Andrew Davidson dove into the recent U.S. deployments off the coast of Venezuela and the broader strategy of the U.S. in Latin America. Recorded November 20, 2025.