15 Years in Something They Call War

Sept. 19 2016 The U.S. has veered away from its original mission since going to war in Afghanistan after 9/11.

This Week in Geopolitics

|September 19, 2016

Originally produced on Aug. 29, 2016 for Mauldin Economics, LLC

George Friedman

In every battle, whenever the enemy achieves surprise—from Pearl Harbor to the Bulge, Chosin Reservoir to Tet—everyone is stunned. But within a decade, the number of those who were stunned drops off, and the world is filled with people who knew it was coming. In every intelligence service, there are bits of information pointing at the absolutely obvious fact that an attack was coming. But they only point to anything after it happens.

So too with September 11, 2001.

I know of two classes of people. There are those who knew all along that this was coming. And there are those who are convinced that the government knew or should have known. There is a guy at a mobile hot-dog stand on K Street in DC. He will swear that he passed on conclusive warning of the attack and was ignored.

Retrospective genius or expectation of genius is part of our culture.
What Happened That Day
When I recons

Get full access now:

Download as PDF or get access to all In-Depth Content

Over 10,000 Premium Readers

Download the article PDF format, full-color
$9.99
One Month Introductory Offer One month for $9.99, then $39 quarterly
$9.99
Subscribe
3 Months Introductory Offer Three months for $29, then $35 quarterly
$29
Subscribe
15 Years in Something They Call War

Reader feedback

“I want to thank you for all your writing. Your look at history--causes, motivations, effects--is so astounding against the mainstream dates, events, and bias. I read as much of your site as I can, but I most of all love the look at history. Nobody has as profound a look at American & European history, or WWII. You are peerless.” Christopher T. of Raleigh, NC
“The material is always well-written, and is very useful for understanding the significance of important issues developing across the world.” Beckett T. of Washington
“Geopolitical Futures' insights are mind-blowing. Their analyses never fail to distill order from the jumble of current events. No other publication comes close to the caliber of Geopolitical Futures' forecasts.” Bill S. of California
“Your emails is my best link to understanding what is going on in the world's hot spots without the extreme typical media bias. Keep up the great work. Thanks for your considerable efforts.” David H.
“Geopolitical Futures is unparalleled for open source analysis. It's like they have a crystal ball. I'm jealous of George Friedman's ability to effectively communicate such a complex world in such relatively simple terms. I'd pay far more money than I am now to keep this service. I feel like I'm stealing.” Dominic F. of Virginia
“Your analysis is thought-provoking and informative. I am a geopolitical hobbyist, but I also use your information to manage my retirement portfolio. I love your cogent, dispassionate analysis. Kudos to you.” Kevin A of Maryland
“I was an Economist subscriber. No longer. I find your articles insightful, easy to read, and only takes few minutes a day to stay informed. Bravo!” Pat G.
“The best analysis out there, by far. As a geopolitical analyst, you guys are an inspiration, a reference and a constant motivation for improvement. Thanks for the rigour and the high quality you deliver in all of your work!” Ricky M. of Panama
“I think you doing an excellent job keeping people informed about global trends. You are doing analysis in a timely manner for events across the globe which is challenging task. Keep up the good work!” Nicolae C. of Romania
“The insights that you offer often go against "conventional wisdom" and conformist views. However, more often than not, your profound assessments and forecasts, which stem from a deep understanding of a wide range of associated dynamics, have turned out to be correct with passage of time. It is for these reasons that I invest in your work.” K Singh of India
“One of the vanishingly few analysis publishers that try to understand the current situation in light of local, regional and international facts and historical events, with no discernible bias, a transparent effort to overcome cognitive bias, and refreshing willingness to go against the current when seeking to shed light on events.” Ian W. of Paraguay

Get full access now:

Download as PDF or get access to all In-Depth Content

Over 10,000 Premium Readers

Download the article PDF format, full-color
$9.99
One Month Introductory Offer One month for $9.99, then $39 quarterly
$9.99
Subscribe
3 Months Introductory Offer Three months for $29, then $35 quarterly
$29
Subscribe
15 Years in Something They Call War