What Russia Expects From the Next US President

The current uncertainty benefits the Kremlin.

Though legal challenges remain, Joe Biden seems as though he will be the next U.S. president. Russia is in no hurry to congratulate him on his victory. For all its disagreements with President Donald Trump, Russia saw him as a known entity. It doesn’t feel the same way about Biden. But the uncertainty works in Russia’s favor. The Biden administration will be so absorbed in its own problems that it may have less time to be active in distant frontiers or to become embroiled in new foreign policy commitments and challenge Russia’s stance in foreign theaters. This gives Russia room to maneuver and strengthen its influence in some vulnerable post-Soviet countries before the inauguration. The Kremlin believes relations with the U.S. will, at best, stay as frosty as they are now. More realistically, it expects Washington to be tougher on Moscow by, for example, activating NATO on the Eastern European frontier, which Russia considers as a threat to its security. Biden is likely to revive the U.S.-Germany defense relationship, too, and will increase operational presence in Eastern Europe. During the campaign, Biden even said he might put additional sanctions on Russia for the poisoning of Alexei Navalny. But Russia knows […]

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Ekaterina Zolotova
Ekaterina Zolotova is an analyst for Geopolitical Futures. Prior to Geopolitical Futures, Ms. Zolotova participated in several research projects devoted to problems and prospects of Russia’s integration into the world economy. Ms. Zolotova has a specialist degree in international economic relations from Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. In addition, Ms. Zolotova studied international trade and international integration processes. Her thesis was on features of economic development of Venezuela. She speaks native Russian and is fluent in English.