Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isn’t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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How the Ukraine War Gave Venezuelan Oil an Opening

For years, the Venezuelan economy has been largely disconnected from Western markets. The war in Ukraine, however, initiated a sort of restructuring of the...

Daily Memo: China’s Agriculture Woes

Wheat loss in China. China’s Henan province, which produces more wheat than any other, experienced higher-than-normal rainfall in the final week of May, just...

Daily Memo: Grain Deal Extension, Russian Labor Shortage

Grain supplies. Russia has agreed to extend a deal that facilitates the shipment of Ukrainian grain through Black Sea ports for another two months....

Daily Memo: Africa’s Peace Mission, Russia’s Arms Production

South Africa's role. South African President Cyril Ramaphosa said his Ukrainian and Russian counterparts agreed to receive an African peace mission aimed at resolving...

Daily Memo: Azerbaijan and Armenia Inch Closer to Peace Deal

Peace talks. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan held talks, mediated by European Council President Charles Michel, in Brussels over...

Daily Memo: Russian Budget Update

Telling signs. Russia’s Finance Ministry published a preliminary assessment of the country’s federal budget so far this year. According to its estimates, budget revenue...

Daily Memo: US Mediates Azerbaijani-Armenian Talks

Nagorno-Karabakh talks. The foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia will hold talks on Monday in the United States on their long-standing dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh,...

Daily Memo: Washington and Seoul Discuss Nuclear Umbrella

U.S.-South Korea alliance. The United States will more regularly deploy strategic assets to South Korea and will set up a joint nuclear consultative body...

Latest Posts


Antonia Colibasanu on The John Batchelor Show: Russia Evades Sanctions

How did Russia prepare for round after round of sanctions from the West, and to a certain extent evade their impacts, following its invasion of Ukraine over one year ago? Antonia Colibasanu joins John Batchelor to discuss the history of Russian sanctions going back to its annexation of Crimea in 2014, and what the future holds for the Russian economy.

George Friedman on The John Batchelor Show: Russian Patriotism and Victory Day

What did Victory Day represent in the days of WWII and what does it represent today as Russia continues its war in Ukraine? George Friedman joins John Batchelor as Moscow prepares for its annual Victory Day celebrations, marking the Soviet Union’s defeat of Nazi Germany in 1945.

Antonia Colibasanu on The John Batchelor Show: Is Moldova the Kremlin’s Next Target?

Russian President Vladimir Putin recently canceled a 2012 foreign policy decree that committed Moscow to peacefully resolving the border crisis of Transnistria, in eastern Moldova. This further raises concerns that Russia could escalate the situation and advance on Moldova. Antonia Colibasanu joins John Batchelor to discuss the latest in the Ukraine conflict and the potential for further military operations in Moldova.

Bloomberg Daybreak Australia: George Friedman on Russia’s Threat

George Friedman discusses his take on the Kremlin's renewed threat of a nuclear war. It comes as Russia may rush to complete annexation of...

Bloomberg: George Friedman on Russia’s Threat

George Friedman, Founder and Chairman at Geopolitical Futures, discusses the Kremlin's renewed threat of a nuclear war. It comes as Russia may rush to...


Mauldin Economics Global Macro Update: George Friedman on Putin’s Next Move in Ukraine

What's the likelihood Putin would use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine? Geopolitical Futures Founder George Friedman discusses likely next steps, Russia’s diminished stance in the international community, and the probability that Putin will resort to nuclear weapons, with Mauldin Economics' Ed D’Agostino.

Antonia Colibasanu on TRT World Now: EU Divided on Price Cap on Russian Gas

European Union officials remained divided on Friday, as they met to discuss ways to tackle the soaring cost of gas and electricity. They have been debating plans to cap the price of Russian gas. GPF COO Antonia Colibasanu weighs in on this controversy.

Antonia Colibasanu on TRT World: UN Warns of Food Crisis Over Russia’s Blockade of Ukraine’s Ports

Russia has effectively blockaded Ukrainian ports, an action the UN describes as a declaration of war on global food security. Ukraine usually exports about five million tons of agricultural produce every month, a large proportion of which is bought by some of the poorest nations in the world. Antonia Colibasanu weighs in on the Kremlin’s economic war on Kyiv.
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