Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isn’t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Russia’s Negotiating Strategy

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It has been about three months since U.S. President Donald Trump began the negotiation process with Russian President Vladimir Putin for peace in Ukraine....

Daily Memo: US and Iran Lay Out Conflicting Red Lines

Red lines. U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff drew a red line on Iran’s nuclear program, saying Washington would not permit Iran to retain any...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

New occupants. The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces have begun moving fighters to bases in the Al-Omar and Conoco oil and gas fields in Deir...

Daily Memo: A Shaky Start to Russia-Ukraine Negotiations

Tempered expectations. Russia and Ukraine are expected to hold their first direct talks since March 2022 in Istanbul on Thursday. Early Thursday, the Kremlin...

Daily Memo: Trump Meets Syrian Leader

Support for Syria. U.S. President Donald Trump met with Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa in Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, a day after Trump announced he...

Daily Memo: Governments Weigh in on Russia-Ukraine Talks

Preparing for negotiations. U.S. President Donald Trump said at a press conference that he might fly to Istanbul on May 15 for the potential...

Daily Memo: US-China Trade Deal, Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks

Compromise. The United States and China agreed to slash duties on imports for an initial 90-day period following high-level talks in Geneva over the...

In Russia, a Late Night Call for Peace

In the early morning of May 11, when most Russians were fast asleep, President Vladimir Putin issued a long statement on a resolution to...

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Podcasts

George Friedman: What’s Next for Russia, Ukraine and Europe?

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The US-Ukraine minerals deal is done but a Russia-Ukraine peace deal is seemingly out of reach. Now the US is looking to scale back its involvement in mediating an end to the conflict. So what's next for the war in Ukraine? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman considers how the fighting might end, why Vladimir Putin might be running out of room, and why Eastern Europe is now the pivot point for European defense.

George Friedman: Why Putin Has Lost the War in Ukraine

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After Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s Oval Office bust up, you might think the war in Ukraine is going rather well for Vladimir Putin. But, according to Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman, the Russian president has already lost the war. Tune in to this new podcast from Geopolitical Futures as Friedman explains Russia’s failure, why he thinks Trump is buttering up Putin, and what he thinks of the press conference heard round the world and the decision to pause U.S. military aid for Ukraine.

The Leighton Smith Podcast: George Friedman on Storms, Wars and the Potential for Peace

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On this episode of NewstalkZB's Leighton Smith Podcast, GPF Chairman George Friedman is in studio to discuss the current wars raging in the Middle East and Ukraine, how peace might come to Ukraine, as well as the role of space in warfare.

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Russian economics. Russia’s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

Diplomatic efforts. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone with his Turkish and Iranian counterparts about the situation in Syria, where rebels (including...

Videos

George Friedman: What’s Next for Russia, Ukraine and Europe?

FREE
The US-Ukraine minerals deal is done but a Russia-Ukraine peace deal is seemingly out of reach. Now the US is looking to scale back its involvement in mediating an end to the conflict. So what's next for the war in Ukraine? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman considers how the fighting might end, why Vladimir Putin might be running out of room, and why Eastern Europe is now the pivot point for European defense.

George Friedman Reacts to Comments: Putin’s Weakness, Trump’s Strategy, and NATO’s Future

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George Friedman returns to the Mauldin Economics' Global Macro Update to explain why Russia cannot realistically wage war in Europe, NATO's diminishing relevance, and how the current flurry of activity in the White House compares to Roosevelt's first hundred days in office.

George Friedman: Why Putin Has Lost the War in Ukraine

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After Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s Oval Office bust up, you might think the war in Ukraine is going rather well for Vladimir Putin. But, according to Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman, the Russian president has already lost the war. Tune in to this new podcast from Geopolitical Futures as Friedman explains Russia’s failure, why he thinks Trump is buttering up Putin, and what he thinks of the press conference heard round the world and the decision to pause U.S. military aid for Ukraine.

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