Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isn’t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Daily Memo: New Middle East Coalition, Russian Air Defense

Security at sea. Fifteen countries have signed a statement agreeing to establish a multinational maritime defense coalition, the Saudi Defense Ministry announced. The grouping...

Daily Memo: Concerns Over US Arms Stockpiles and Black Sea Transit

Advice on Iran. U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Dan Caine reportedly told top Trump administration officials privately that the U.S. needs to find...

Belarus’ Military Buildup Is About Survival

Recent moves by Belarus to strengthen and reorganize its military have raised concerns that Minsk and Moscow are preparing to open a second front...

Daily Memo: Russia Leans on Belarus, DRC Restricts Cobalt and Copper Exports

Russia's energy problem. Belarusian gasoline and diesel fuel exports to Russia reached a record high in July amid fuel shortages driven by repeated Ukrainian...

Daily Memo: North Korean Missile Unit in Russia, Hamas Relocates Some Activities

North Korean missiles. A North Korean missile unit is deploying to the Voronezh region of western Russia, according to Ukrainian military intelligence. The unit...

Russia’s Road Back Runs Through Berlin

By Andrew Ryvkin Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the media has focused more on Russia’s negotiations with the United States than with the European...

Daily Memo: Receding Danube Levels, Negotiations With Iran

Energy crisis. Romania has declared a state of emergency for the entire month of August due to declining electricity generation caused by record-low water...

Daily Memo: Red Sea Transit, European Tech

Shipping fees. Yemen’s Houthi rebels are working with Iran’s Revolutionary Guard to establish a body that will impose levies on commercial ships passing through...

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Podcasts

Ukraine Isn’t the Only Frontline In Russia’s War Against the West

FREE
Russia's war with Ukraine is about to enter yet another winter. Meanwhile in the US, Donald Trump is turning his attention to Russia's southern border in an effort to woo the nations of the South Caucasus with diplomacy. What are the US' goals and what does it hope to gain in pulling these nations closer while Russia is distracted in its fight against NATO to the West? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to make sense of the latest developments.

George Friedman on Putin’s NATO Provocations and Poland’s Emerging Power

FREE
Already this month, Russia has violated the airspace of three NATO countries: Estonia, Romania and Poland - twice. What is Russian President Vladimir Putin trying to achieve with these bold moves, and what impact might they have on Ukraine negotiations? GPF Chairman George Friedman joined host Christian Smith to discuss the latest geopolitical developments in the region as well as outline his forecast for Poland's evolution from his 2009 book, The Next 100 Years.

Should Europe Fear Russia? George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu from Romania

FREE
The U.S. decision to recuse itself from European security has created something of a crisis on the continent. America wants European countries to pick up their own defense spending and focus on their own region, following Vladimir Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. So what’s the feeling in Europe about the risks countries there face from Russia? How are they navigating those threats? And do Americans and Europeans see them in the same way?

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Russian economics. Russia’s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

Diplomatic efforts. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone with his Turkish and Iranian counterparts about the situation in Syria, where rebels (including...

Videos

Ukraine Isn’t the Only Frontline In Russia’s War Against the West

FREE
Russia's war with Ukraine is about to enter yet another winter. Meanwhile in the US, Donald Trump is turning his attention to Russia's southern border in an effort to woo the nations of the South Caucasus with diplomacy. What are the US' goals and what does it hope to gain in pulling these nations closer while Russia is distracted in its fight against NATO to the West? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to make sense of the latest developments.

George Friedman on Putin’s NATO Provocations and Poland’s Emerging Power

FREE
Already this month, Russia has violated the airspace of three NATO countries: Estonia, Romania and Poland - twice. What is Russian President Vladimir Putin trying to achieve with these bold moves, and what impact might they have on Ukraine negotiations? GPF Chairman George Friedman joined host Christian Smith to discuss the latest geopolitical developments in the region as well as outline his forecast for Poland's evolution from his 2009 book, The Next 100 Years.

Should Europe Fear Russia? George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu from Romania

FREE
The U.S. decision to recuse itself from European security has created something of a crisis on the continent. America wants European countries to pick up their own defense spending and focus on their own region, following Vladimir Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. So what’s the feeling in Europe about the risks countries there face from Russia? How are they navigating those threats? And do Americans and Europeans see them in the same way?