Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isnā€™t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Daily Memo: Taiwan Eyes Defense Deal, Shifts in Russian Trade

Investments in the U.S. Taiwan is reportedly in talks on a multibillion-dollar deal to purchase arms from the United States, hoping to curry favor...

Daily Memo: US Negotiations With Russia and Belarus

Meeting in Riyadh. Representatives from the United States and Russia are set to meet in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, Russiaā€™s Kommersant reported. Secretary of...

Speculating on the Summit in Saudi Arabia

At its heart, Geopolitical Futures is a forecasting company. But before we forecast, we analyze. And before we analyze, we speculate. We rarely publish...

Daily Memo: US-India Talks, Protests in Belgium

U.S. and India. During talks in Washington this week, U.S. President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agreed to intensify defense cooperation....

Daily Memo: Developments in Ukraine and Syria

Planning negotiations. U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke by phone on Wednesday. The Kremlin said they discussed a prisoner exchange,...

Russia-US Negotiations Open the Next Phase Of Restructuring the World

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From 1945 until the early 1990s, the global order was based on the hostility between the United States and the Soviet Union. It was...

Daily Memo: Iran’s Nuclear Policy, AI Development in France

Iran and nukes. Top commanders of Iranā€™s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps asked Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to lift the fatwa (or religious decree)...

Daily Memo: Russian Missiles for India, US Weapons for Egypt

Russian weapons. India signed a contract with Russia to purchase anti-ship cruise missiles, the Indian Defense Ministry said. The ministry added that the weapons...

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Podcasts

The Leighton Smith Podcast: George Friedman on Storms, Wars and the Potential for Peace

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On this episode of NewstalkZB's Leighton Smith Podcast, GPF Chairman George Friedman is in studio to discuss the current wars raging in the Middle East and Ukraine, how peace might come to Ukraine, as well as the role of space in warfare.

Antonia Colibasanu on The John Batchelor Show: Romania, Moldova, and Ukrainian Reconstruction

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What role do Romania and Moldova, who are also on the front lines of the war in Ukraine, play in the war-torn country's reconstruction efforts? Antonia Colibasanu joined John Batchelor to discuss efforts being made by their governments and NGOs, and how to keep these efforts going as funding becomes more strained in the process.

Geopolitics in the 21st Century | The Emerging World Order

On this episode of Talking Geopolitics we conclude our subscriber-only limited series, Geopolitics in the 21st Century. Chairman George Friedman and host Christian Smith focus in on the big picture of geopolitics. There is a new order coming, but unlike the reordering that took place after the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991. How and why is the world changing? What will this new world look like when it's emerged?

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Russian economics. Russiaā€™s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

Diplomatic efforts. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone with his Turkish and Iranian counterparts about the situation in Syria, where rebels (including...

Videos

Global Security Challenges ā€“ A U.S. Military Perspective | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Colonel Scott Leonard

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From the war in Ukraine, instability in the Middle East, and the potential for conflict in the Pacific, the U.S. military is involved to a certain degree in a variety of operations. In this ClubGPF live discussion, Colonel Scott Leonard, Chief of Staff to the Commandant of the U.S. Marine Corps (ret) joined GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss global security challenges from a U.S. military perspective.

Mauldin Economics Global Macro Update: George Friedman on Putin’s Next Move in Ukraine

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What's the likelihood Putin would use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine? Geopolitical Futures Founder George Friedman discusses likely next steps, Russiaā€™s diminished stance in the international community, and the probability that Putin will resort to nuclear weapons, with Mauldin Economics' Ed Dā€™Agostino.

Antonia Colibasanu on TRT World Now: EU Divided on Price Cap on Russian Gas

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European Union officials remained divided on Friday, as they met to discuss ways to tackle the soaring cost of gas and electricity. They have been debating plans to cap the price of Russian gas. GPF COO Antonia Colibasanu weighs in on this controversy.

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