Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isn’t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Daily Memo: Yemen Update, Russia-Afghanistan Talks

New offensive. Yemen’s internationally recognized government began a major offensive against the Houthi rebels on Monday after the country’s president announced a new military...

Thinking About How the Iran War Ends

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China Just Made Trump’s Energy Dilemma Worse

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Daily Memo: Europe on Support for Ukraine, Washington on European Fuel Supplies

Growing hesitation. European governments are pushing back on Ukraine’s request for more financial support. This week, Ukraine’s finance minister traveled to Brussels to warn...

Daily Memo: Houthis and Somali Militants Teaming Up, Ukraine’s Funding Gap

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Daily Memo: Trump-Xi Summit, Houthi Attacks on Saudi Arabia

The results. Chinese President Xi Jinping held talks with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on Thursday. Xi said the two countries...

Africa and Europe’s Shared Gray Zone

Russia’s operations against European states are testing how much disruption NATO will tolerate before imposing greater costs on Moscow. Drone incursions, sabotage, small-scale attacks...

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Podcasts

Ukraine Isn’t the Only Frontline In Russia’s War Against the West

FREE
Russia's war with Ukraine is about to enter yet another winter. Meanwhile in the US, Donald Trump is turning his attention to Russia's southern border in an effort to woo the nations of the South Caucasus with diplomacy. What are the US' goals and what does it hope to gain in pulling these nations closer while Russia is distracted in its fight against NATO to the West? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to make sense of the latest developments.

George Friedman on Putin’s NATO Provocations and Poland’s Emerging Power

FREE
Already this month, Russia has violated the airspace of three NATO countries: Estonia, Romania and Poland - twice. What is Russian President Vladimir Putin trying to achieve with these bold moves, and what impact might they have on Ukraine negotiations? GPF Chairman George Friedman joined host Christian Smith to discuss the latest geopolitical developments in the region as well as outline his forecast for Poland's evolution from his 2009 book, The Next 100 Years.

Should Europe Fear Russia? George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu from Romania

FREE
The U.S. decision to recuse itself from European security has created something of a crisis on the continent. America wants European countries to pick up their own defense spending and focus on their own region, following Vladimir Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. So what’s the feeling in Europe about the risks countries there face from Russia? How are they navigating those threats? And do Americans and Europeans see them in the same way?

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Russian economics. Russia’s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

Diplomatic efforts. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone with his Turkish and Iranian counterparts about the situation in Syria, where rebels (including...

Videos

Ukraine Isn’t the Only Frontline In Russia’s War Against the West

FREE
Russia's war with Ukraine is about to enter yet another winter. Meanwhile in the US, Donald Trump is turning his attention to Russia's southern border in an effort to woo the nations of the South Caucasus with diplomacy. What are the US' goals and what does it hope to gain in pulling these nations closer while Russia is distracted in its fight against NATO to the West? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to make sense of the latest developments.

George Friedman on Putin’s NATO Provocations and Poland’s Emerging Power

FREE
Already this month, Russia has violated the airspace of three NATO countries: Estonia, Romania and Poland - twice. What is Russian President Vladimir Putin trying to achieve with these bold moves, and what impact might they have on Ukraine negotiations? GPF Chairman George Friedman joined host Christian Smith to discuss the latest geopolitical developments in the region as well as outline his forecast for Poland's evolution from his 2009 book, The Next 100 Years.

Should Europe Fear Russia? George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu from Romania

FREE
The U.S. decision to recuse itself from European security has created something of a crisis on the continent. America wants European countries to pick up their own defense spending and focus on their own region, following Vladimir Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. So what’s the feeling in Europe about the risks countries there face from Russia? How are they navigating those threats? And do Americans and Europeans see them in the same way?