Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isn’t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Russia Seals Its Southern Border

Russia's focus currently is on its western front, in Ukraine and neighboring countries. There is, however, another front that concerns Russia: its southern border,...

Daily Memo: Xi Offers to Rebuild Syria

Xi courts Arab leaders. China wants to help Syria reach a political settlement, rebuild, reconcile with its Arab neighbors and improve its counterterrorism capabilities,...

Daily Memo: US Aid for Libya, Another Big Turkish Rate Hike

US visit to Libya. The commander of U.S. Africa Command and the U.S. special envoy for Libya arrived in Tripoli for meetings with military...

Daily Memo: Developments in Nagorno-Karabakh, New Wagner Deal

Nagorno-Karabakh update. Azerbaijan’s Ministry of Defense announced that the country’s army launched “anti-terrorist measures” in the breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh. A ministry statement accused...

Daily Memo: New India-Middle East-Europe Corridor Announced

New network. At a summit in New Delhi, G20 leaders announced a new project to connect India with the Middle East and Europe by...

Three Seas Bloc Could Alleviate Ukraine’s Grain Crisis

Russia appears to have moved on from the Black Sea grain initiative, notwithstanding this week’s meeting between the Russian and Turkish presidents on the...

A Shift in Ukrainian Strategy

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced over the weekend that he replaced his defense minister with someone new – unsurprising, given the exhaustion the minister...

Daily Memo: Another Coup in West Africa, Drone Strikes Hit Russia

Gabon joins the list. The military in Gabon has seized power from President Ali Bongo, who was reelected on Saturday in a national vote...

Latest Posts


Antonia Colibasanu on The John Batchelor Show: Securing Ukrainian Exports and Romanian Ports

Romanian Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu announced the country intends to expand critical grain shipments from Ukraine as Russia's war on Ukraine continues to disrupt trade in the Black Sea Basin. Antonia Colibasanu joined John Batchelor to discuss Romania's role in not only Black Sea trade but also its importance in keeping Ukraine's economy afloat, which is not without risk.

George Friedman on The John Batchelor Show: Ukraine, Turkey, and the Black Sea Grain Deal

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has announced he intends to revive the Black Sea Grain Deal, an initiative crucial to Ukraine as one of the world's largest grain exporters. GPF Chairman George Friedman joined John Batchelor on the day of this announcement to discuss the latest on the deal, and not only the war on the frontlines in Ukraine, but the economic war Russia continues to wage.

Geopolitics in the 21st Century | Tensions Across Eurasia

On this episode of Talking Geopolitics we begin a subscriber-only limited series on some of the key issues in geopolitics today. Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith for a deeper look at the current movements, motives and potential outcomes of the Russo-Ukrainian War and the ongoing friction between the US and China.

Bloomberg Daybreak Australia: George Friedman on Russia’s Threat

George Friedman discusses his take on the Kremlin's renewed threat of a nuclear war. It comes as Russia may rush to complete annexation of...

Bloomberg: George Friedman on Russia’s Threat

George Friedman, Founder and Chairman at Geopolitical Futures, discusses the Kremlin's renewed threat of a nuclear war. It comes as Russia may rush to...


Mauldin Economics Global Macro Update: George Friedman on Putin’s Next Move in Ukraine

What's the likelihood Putin would use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine? Geopolitical Futures Founder George Friedman discusses likely next steps, Russia’s diminished stance in the international community, and the probability that Putin will resort to nuclear weapons, with Mauldin Economics' Ed D’Agostino.

Antonia Colibasanu on TRT World Now: EU Divided on Price Cap on Russian Gas

European Union officials remained divided on Friday, as they met to discuss ways to tackle the soaring cost of gas and electricity. They have been debating plans to cap the price of Russian gas. GPF COO Antonia Colibasanu weighs in on this controversy.

Antonia Colibasanu on TRT World: UN Warns of Food Crisis Over Russia’s Blockade of Ukraine’s Ports

Russia has effectively blockaded Ukrainian ports, an action the UN describes as a declaration of war on global food security. Ukraine usually exports about five million tons of agricultural produce every month, a large proportion of which is bought by some of the poorest nations in the world. Antonia Colibasanu weighs in on the Kremlin’s economic war on Kyiv.

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