Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isnā€™t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Daily Memo: Russia’s Presence in Syria, Transnistria’s Energy Crisis

Making changes. The new Syrian administration in Damascus has canceled a deal with a Russian company to manage the port of Tartus. All revenue...

Daily Memo: Gaza Ceasefire Deal, Starmer Visits Ukraine

Shaky deal. The Gaza ceasefire deal reached on Wednesday has hit a ā€œlast-minute crisis,ā€ Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahuā€™s office said. The Israeli leader...

Daily Memo: Iran Taps Oil Stockpile, Plans to Arm Kurdish Militants

Fundraising drive. Iran recently shipped nearly 3 million barrels of oil from a storage facility in China, drawing from a stockpile of at least...

Daily Memo: German Support for Ukraine

German government divided. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Defense Minister Boris Pistorius want to provide Ukraine with a 3 billion euro ($3.1 billion)...

Daily Memo: Germany’s Industrial Performance, Ukraine-Moldova Energy Talks

Mixed results. Germanyā€™s industrial production rose more than expected in November. According to figures released on Thursday, output increased 1.5 percent from the previous...

Smoke on the Water: Maritime Tension in 2025

For all the attention paid to the worldā€™s many terrestrial conflicts ā€“ in Ukraine, the Palestinian Territories, Syria, Myanmar and elsewhere ā€“ tensions on...

The Reason for a Second Kursk Offensive

By Andrew Davidson Ukrainian forces have launched another offensive in Russia's Kursk region following their initial assault that began last year inside Russia. Back in...

Daily Memo: Talks With Kurds in Syria, Russia’s Advance in Ukraine

Syrian developments. The new regime in Damascus held talks with the Kurdistan Workersā€™ Party (PKK) and Peopleā€™s Protection Units (YPG) demanding that they lay...

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Podcasts

The Leighton Smith Podcast: George Friedman on Storms, Wars and the Potential for Peace

FREE
On this episode of NewstalkZB's Leighton Smith Podcast, GPF Chairman George Friedman is in studio to discuss the current wars raging in the Middle East and Ukraine, how peace might come to Ukraine, as well as the role of space in warfare.

Antonia Colibasanu on The John Batchelor Show: Romania, Moldova, and Ukrainian Reconstruction

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What role do Romania and Moldova, who are also on the front lines of the war in Ukraine, play in the war-torn country's reconstruction efforts? Antonia Colibasanu joined John Batchelor to discuss efforts being made by their governments and NGOs, and how to keep these efforts going as funding becomes more strained in the process.

Geopolitics in the 21st Century | The Emerging World Order

On this episode of Talking Geopolitics we conclude our subscriber-only limited series, Geopolitics in the 21st Century. Chairman George Friedman and host Christian Smith focus in on the big picture of geopolitics. There is a new order coming, but unlike the reordering that took place after the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991. How and why is the world changing? What will this new world look like when it's emerged?

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Russian economics. Russiaā€™s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

Diplomatic efforts. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone with his Turkish and Iranian counterparts about the situation in Syria, where rebels (including...

Videos

Global Security Challenges ā€“ A U.S. Military Perspective | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Colonel Scott Leonard

FREE
From the war in Ukraine, instability in the Middle East, and the potential for conflict in the Pacific, the U.S. military is involved to a certain degree in a variety of operations. In this ClubGPF live discussion, Colonel Scott Leonard, Chief of Staff to the Commandant of the U.S. Marine Corps (ret) joined GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss global security challenges from a U.S. military perspective.

Mauldin Economics Global Macro Update: George Friedman on Putin’s Next Move in Ukraine

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What's the likelihood Putin would use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine? Geopolitical Futures Founder George Friedman discusses likely next steps, Russiaā€™s diminished stance in the international community, and the probability that Putin will resort to nuclear weapons, with Mauldin Economics' Ed Dā€™Agostino.

Antonia Colibasanu on TRT World Now: EU Divided on Price Cap on Russian Gas

FREE
European Union officials remained divided on Friday, as they met to discuss ways to tackle the soaring cost of gas and electricity. They have been debating plans to cap the price of Russian gas. GPF COO Antonia Colibasanu weighs in on this controversy.

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