The State of Europe’s Economies

Slowed growth makes these countries vulnerable to broader global economic downturns.

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Europe’s economic growth is sluggish. In the third quarter of 2019, GDP increased by 0.3 percent quarter-over-quarter for both the eurozone and the EU. In the same quarter of 2018, the eurozone economy grew by just 1.2 percent, while the EU economy grew by just 1.4 percent. Household consumption and exports have shown small gains as fixed capital formation dragged economic activity down. Change in inventories were negative. Employment for the eurozone rose 0.1 percent in the third quarter but remained unchanged for the EU. These economies are vulnerable to a global economic slowdown. Poor economic performances are expected to destabilize Europe, which will in turn feed a major political challenge for maintaining the EU.

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.