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Freidman: ‘Nationalism’ Built the Judeo-Christian West

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“George Friedman writes that the current rise of nationalism has nothing to do with fascism; rather, it’s a return to ‘the core of the...

Nationalism Is Rising, Not Fascism

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May 31, 2016 The claims of an increase in fascism in Europe and the U.S. derive from a misunderstanding of the term.

Isolationism vs. Internationalism: False Choices

May 17, 2016

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The New Imbalance of Power in the Middle East

The strategic situation in the Middle East is a culmination of Arab states’ decades-long failure to drive regional security. The Cold War, non-Arab regional powers, and the emergence of non-state actors have created an imbalance of power. The geopolitical struggle is principally between Israel and Iran, while regional players like Saudi Arabia and Turkey as […]

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Fallout From the Attack in Russia

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Four days after the terrorist attack in Moscow, the most important question is how the Kremlin will respond – which itself will depend on...

Russia Walks a Demographic Tightrope

January was a month of widespread dissatisfaction and protest in Russia, but not for the reasons you’d expect. Demonstrations erupted in the eastern Siberian city of Yakutsk when a 26-year-old was killed by a Tajik migrant. In Bashkortostan, police dispersed thousands of residents protesting against the sentencing of a Bashkir activist who was charged with […]

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2024 Annual Forecast: India’s Transformation

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not provide a systematic forecast. The method, no matter how tested in the past, cannot produce one. Only a grasp of history, filtered through a forecasting method tested consistently and repeatedly, will […]

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Arab Strategic Miscalculations

Countries of all stripes – whether developed or underdeveloped, democratic or authoritarian – have been known to commit strategic military miscalculations. The U.S., for example, won decisive wars against developed countries such as Germany and Japan, but blundered in wars against much lesser powers like Vietnam in the 1970s and Iraq and Afghanistan after the […]

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The Gravity of Germany’s Economic Problems

Last week, the European Commission lowered its growth predictions in the eurozone for 2023 and 2024 – overwhelmingly because of poor economic indicators from Germany. For Berlin, a year of significant growth in 2021 was followed by two years of decline, and the most recent estimates suggest the economy will grow only by a meager […]

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France and Japan Converge in the Pacific

Even as a major war rages on its doorstep, NATO, a trans-Atlantic political and military alliance, is increasingly concerned with growing Chinese power in the Pacific. In its most recent strategic document, adopted at last year’s summit in Madrid, the bloc singled out China for attempting, including through its strategic partnership with Russia, to “subvert […]

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North Africa’s Mini-Uprising in France

Violent riots broke out in France last week after police shot dead a young man of Algerian descent in the Paris suburb of Nanterre. After his death, the United Nations asked France to address racial discrimination in the country, describing the problem as rooted in the ranks of the security forces. In 2005, similar riots […]

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INDIA’S RISKY DOUBLE GAMES

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by Lorenzo Di Muro With us or against us is not a formula applicable to India today. The enlarged West led by the United States...

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