Israel/Palestine Conflict

The fighting that erupted between Israel and Hamas on Oct. 7 was no ordinary flare-up. It shattered the relative calm observed in the Middle East over the past few of years – a result of Israel’s efforts to reclaim its international status; of Iran’s efforts to reconcile with its neighbors; and of new alignments slowly forming among erstwhile enemies. Regional leadership and power dynamics are directly at stake, as is the potential shape of the Middle East itself.

Featured Content

The State of the Israeli-Gaza Conflict

The origins of the modern Arab-Israeli conflict are pretty well known. Gaza, the narrow strip of land running to the Sinai Peninsula, was originally...

The Drumbeat of War in the Middle East

Threats of impending war have permeated the Middle East since Israel’s establishment in 1948. Though Egypt made peace with Israel in 1978 and Jordan...

The Eclipse of the Palestinian Question

Until the 1970s, the Palestinian question had preoccupied the Arab world since the creation of Israel in 1948. Public figures and ordinary Arabs were...

West Bank Violence Stalls Arab-Israeli Normalization

Last month, three senior U.S. officials visited Israel and the Palestinian Territories to try to avert a third Palestinian intifada. National Security Adviser Jake...

Special Collection on the Middle East

This complete work consists of several dozen essays spread out over 8 parts tackling the region’s conflicts and historical evolution, relating them to contemporary issues. Divided into distinct regions and critical issues, the Special Collection of the Middle East is your source to better understand this volatile region and to be prepared for what comes next.

Recent Analysis: Israel & Palestine

Continue to the category

Daily Memo: Palestinian Unity, EU Funds for Armenia

Coming to agreement. Some 14 Palestinian factions, including Hamas and Fatah, signed a reconciliation declaration following China-mediated talks this week, Chinese state broadcaster CCTV...

Daily Memo: China Cuts a Deal and Lending Rates

Surprising terms. China and the Philippines tentatively agreed on a code of conduct for the resupply of Philippine forces at Second Thomas Shoal, a...

Daily Memo: EU Migration, Disruptions in Global Shipping

European migration. The European Commission will propose changes to the bloc’s visa regime this month, according to a report by Euractiv. The outlet, citing...

Daily Memo: Iran’s President-elect Outlines Vision, Hamas Reacts to Israeli Strikes

Pezeshkian's priorities. Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian outlined his strategic vision for the country in an article for the Tehran Times. He emphasized the importance...

Daily Memo: Moscow’s Message, China-Russia Naval Drills

Russian response. Russia will develop a military response to the future U.S. deployment of long-range missiles in Germany, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov...

Israel’s Graduated Escalation Against Hezbollah

Talk of war between Israel and Hezbollah has been making news since the latter began attacking the former in solidarity with Hamas. Israel has...

Daily Memo: China-Philippines Talks, Russia-Mali Meeting

Deescalation. China and the Philippines held talks on Tuesday in Manila aimed at easing tensions in the South China Sea following an incident two...

Daily Memo: German Intel Official in Lebanon, Orban in Kyiv

Reaching out. The deputy director of Germany’s foreign intelligence agency, Ole Diehl, met with the deputy leader of Hezbollah, Naim Qassem, in Lebanon, Lebanese...

Daily Memo: US Bases in Europe on Alert, Zelenskyy’s Model for Talks

Security warnings. Several U.S. military bases in Europe were placed on high alert over the weekend amid concerns over a possible terrorist attack. European...

Daily Memo: Ukraine Developments, France’s Africa Strategy

Russian plans. Russia could be preparing to launch a new offensive in southern Ukraine, evidenced by the construction of a railway from the Russia-occupied...

Daily Memo: Israel-Hezbollah Tensions, Armenia-Turkey Ties

Israel and Hezbollah. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan spoke by phone with Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati about the escalating tensions with Israel and...

Daily Memo: Hezbollah Considers Its Options

Plan for Hezbollah. A senior officer from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps met in Baghdad with leaders of pro-Iranian factions in Iraq to discuss...

Latest Posts

Audio & Video

The Changing Landscape of Threats | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Rear Admiral Doug Fears

Geopolitical and national security threats are constantly changing and evolving, sometimes it’s hard to keep up. In this ClubGPF live discussion, Rear Admiral (ret) Douglas Fears, Former U.S. Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Advisor to the President joined GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss a wide range of threats from cyber to denial of service, malign influences in social media and ballistic missile defense.

Turmoil in the Middle East | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Hilal Khashan

Middle East expert Hilal Khashan wrote in his January 23rd piece titled ‘The Middle East as a Powder Keg’ that resolving the region’s issues will be on hold pending resolution of the conflict in Gaza. In a recent ClubGPF live discussion, Dr. Khashan was joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss current conditions, why Israel is reluctant to make any kind of deal, and what a Palestinian state could look like if one was created.

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now

The Geopolitics of the American President

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now