Israel/Palestine Conflict

The fighting that erupted between Israel and Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023 was no ordinary flare-up. It shattered the relative calm observed in the Middle East over the past few of years – a result of Israel’s efforts to reclaim its international status; of Iran’s efforts to reconcile with its neighbors; and of new alignments slowly forming among erstwhile enemies. Regional leadership and power dynamics are directly at stake, as is the potential shape of the Middle East itself.

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The State of the Israeli-Gaza Conflict

The origins of the modern Arab-Israeli conflict are pretty well known. Gaza, the narrow strip of land running to the Sinai Peninsula, was originally...

The Drumbeat of War in the Middle East

Threats of impending war have permeated the Middle East since Israel’s establishment in 1948. Though Egypt made peace with Israel in 1978 and Jordan...

The Eclipse of the Palestinian Question

Until the 1970s, the Palestinian question had preoccupied the Arab world since the creation of Israel in 1948. Public figures and ordinary Arabs were...

West Bank Violence Stalls Arab-Israeli Normalization

Last month, three senior U.S. officials visited Israel and the Palestinian Territories to try to avert a third Palestinian intifada. National Security Adviser Jake...

Special Collection on the Middle East

This complete work consists of several dozen essays spread out over 8 parts tackling the region’s conflicts and historical evolution, relating them to contemporary issues. Divided into distinct regions and critical issues, the Special Collection of the Middle East is your source to better understand this volatile region and to be prepared for what comes next.

Recent Analysis: Israel & Palestine

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Daily Memo: Israel’s Revised Strategy for Hamas and Refugees

Gaza refugees. Amid stalled ceasefire talks, Israel is revising its Gaza strategy to tighten humanitarian controls, evacuate civilians to safe zones and blockade Hamas-controlled...

Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid Delay, Iranian Response to US Negotiations

Holdouts. France and Italy are reportedly stalling the allocation of 5 billion euros ($5.4 billion) by the European Union to purchase ammunition for Ukraine...

Daily Memo: Iran-Backed Militants Brace for Strikes

Preparations. Iran-backed militias in Iraq over the past few days have reportedly begun moving their headquarters and relocating weapons depots, fearing possible U.S. or...

Daily Memo: Renewed Fighting in Gaza, Speculation on Trump-Putin Meeting

Hitting Hamas. Israel on Tuesday carried out its largest airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza since both sides agreed to a ceasefire in January....

Daily Memo: Trump and Putin to Talk, US and Iran Trade Words Over Houthis

Disagreements on details. U.S. President Donald Trump said significant progress had been made toward ending the Russia-Ukraine war and that he plans to speak...

Daily Memo: On Syria’s Druze and Ukraine’s Drones

Developments in Syria. The Syrian government is reportedly close to signing a deal to integrate the Druze-majority Sweida province into state institutions. According to...

Daily Memo: Drone Strikes in Russia, Alawite Appeal to Israel

Targeting Moscow. Ukraine launched its largest drone attack on Moscow since the start of the war in Ukraine. According to Russia’s Defense Ministry, 337...

Daily Memo: Much Ado About Iran

No Iran talks. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has again rejected the prospect of holding talks with the United States, saying any negotiation...

Daily Memo: Israel-Azerbaijan Deal, Russian Wheat

Israel and SOCAR. Israel and Azerbaijan are set to finalize a major natural gas deal delayed by Israel’s war with Hamas. A consortium involving BP, Azerbaijan’s state...

Daily Memo: Developments on Ukraine and European Defense

Alternative path. Four of U.S. President Donald Trump’s associates have held secret talks with former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko and members of former...

The Constraints Shaping US Conflict Resolution

The international system has been in flux for more than three decades, yet the United States has relied on outdated tools and strategies to...

Daily Memo: German Rearmament, US Looks for Mediator on Iran

Releasing the brake. Germany’s likely incoming chancellor, Friedrich Merz, announced plans to modify the country’s so-called debt brake to permit a massive increase in defense spending....

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Audio & Video

What’s Next For Iran? ClubGPF Bonus with Kamran Bokhari

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Israel’s decimation of Hezbollah’s leadership and war-making capabilities has paved the way for a massive altering of the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East. After decades on the offensive, Iran has suffered a major setback in its strategy for the region. GPF contributor Kamran Bokhari joined host Christian Smith on our recent Podcast+ episode for ClubGPF members to discuss what’s next for Iran, its proxies, and the Middle East at large.

Shadows of Power: George Friedman on Russia, the Middle East, and the Rise of Non-State Actors

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At GPF we have a distinct method for looking at the world, and every day we see this model play out in real time, like in the current conflicts in the Middle East. In this ClubGPF live discussion, Chairman George Friedman discusses the relationship between current conflicts and the dangers of non-state actors like Hezbollah and Hamas.

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