Israel/Palestine Conflict

The fighting that erupted between Israel and Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023 was no ordinary flare-up. It shattered the relative calm observed in the Middle East over the past few of years – a result of Israel’s efforts to reclaim its international status; of Iran’s efforts to reconcile with its neighbors; and of new alignments slowly forming among erstwhile enemies. Regional leadership and power dynamics are directly at stake, as is the potential shape of the Middle East itself.

Featured Content

The State of the Israeli-Gaza Conflict

Analysis George Friedman -
The origins of the modern Arab-Israeli conflict are pretty well known. Gaza, the narrow strip of land running to the Sinai Peninsula, was originally...
Read more

The Drumbeat of War in the Middle East

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Threats of impending war have permeated the Middle East since Israel’s establishment in 1948. Though Egypt made peace with Israel in 1978 and Jordan...
Read more

The Eclipse of the Palestinian Question

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Until the 1970s, the Palestinian question had preoccupied the Arab world since the creation of Israel in 1948. Public figures and ordinary Arabs were...
Read more

West Bank Violence Stalls Arab-Israeli Normalization

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Last month, three senior U.S. officials visited Israel and the Palestinian Territories to try to avert a third Palestinian intifada. National Security Adviser Jake...
Read more

Special Collection on the Middle East

This complete work consists of several dozen essays spread out over 8 parts tackling the region’s conflicts and historical evolution, relating them to contemporary issues. Divided into distinct regions and critical issues, the Special Collection of the Middle East is your source to better understand this volatile region and to be prepared for what comes next.

View Collection

Recent Analysis: Israel & Palestine

Continue to the category

Iran After the War

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
U.S. President Donald Trump said March 3 that he thinks a "more moderate," popular figure who is already part of Iran's regime would be...
Read more

Daily Memo: Update on the Strait of Hormuz and Chances of a Ground Operation

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
Shipping disruption. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced Monday that the Strait of Hormuz is closed. An adviser to the IRGC commander-in-chief said the...
Read more

Daily Memo: Fallout From the Attack on Iran

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Developments. A flurry of activity has followed the U.S. and Israel’s launch of strikes against Iran over the weekend. Iranian attacks on Gulf countries...
Read more

An Early Military Analysis of the Iran Operation

Analysis Andrew Davidson -
The opening phase of Operation Epic Fury was a coordinated strike campaign aimed at disrupting Iran’s command continuity and degrading its retaliatory capability. Official...
Read more

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

FREE
Analysis George Friedman -
At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...
Read more

Daily Memo: Israel and Somaliland, the US and Iran

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
New representative. Israel announced it is formally accepting the appointment of an ambassador from Somaliland, the breakaway region of Somalia recognized by Israel in...
Read more

Israel in a New Strategic Era

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the weakening of Iran and its proxies beginning in late 2023, Israel largely neutralized the nonstate threats that had constrained it for decades,...
Read more

Daily Memo: North Korea Launches Party Congress

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Changes. North Korea's Workers' Party reshuffled its senior leadership at a congress in Pyongyang this week. Left out of key positions were a number...
Read more

Daily Memo: Israel on Alert, African Minerals

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Escalation. Israeli security agencies have been placed on high alert amid reports that the U.S. is preparing to launch an attack on Iran. According to...
Read more

Preparing for the Long War

Analysis Andrew Davidson -
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine forced European governments to confront a problem they long thought obsolete: sustaining manpower in prolonged, high-intensity war. At the outset...
Read more

Daily Memo: US-Iran Developments, Israeli Defense Industry

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Washington's plan. The U.S. military is preparing for sustained operations against Iran that could last weeks, Reuters reported. Unlike the airstrikes against Iranian nuclear...
Read more

Daily Memo: Russian Pessimism, Israeli Warnings About Iran’s Missiles

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Gloomy outlook. Russia is open to economic cooperation with the U.S. but sees no bright future in their economic relationship because Washington keeps creating...
Read more

Latest Posts

Continue to the category

Audio & Video

George Friedman on America’s Real Iran Goals: Regime Change or Regional Reset?

FREE
Video Geopolitical Futures -
The ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran, which began over the weekend, come after a protracted period of tension, negotiations and military build-up. Tehran has now said it will attack U.S. assets in the region in response to the U.S. and Israeli strikes, which killed several top Iranian officials and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. So why, in a world where the U.S. is trying to withdraw from anything outside the Western Hemisphere, does the U.S. still care about Iran? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss how we got here, intelligence failures, and the future of the Iranian regime, which could look quite different or remain just a new version of the same.
View More

George Friedman on America’s Real Iran Goals: Regime Change or Regional Reset?

FREE
Podcast Geopolitical Futures -
The ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran, which began over the weekend, come after a protracted period of tension, negotiations and military build-up. Tehran has now said it will attack U.S. assets in the region in response to the U.S. and Israeli strikes, which killed several top Iranian officials and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. So why, in a world where the U.S. is trying to withdraw from anything outside the Western Hemisphere, does the U.S. still care about Iran? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss how we got here, intelligence failures, and the future of the Iranian regime, which could look quite different or remain just a new version of the same.
View More