Home Analysis Evaluating a Rumor About Islamic State AnalysisRegional DirectoryMiddle East and North Africa Evaluating a Rumor About Islamic State By GPF Team - December 5, 2015 35 Dec. 5, 2015 A rumor has surfaced about a potential split in the Islamic State. This article is for subscribers only Join thousands of readers who rely on GPF for clear-eyed geopolitical analysis. $89 per year Save 18% vs. monthly ✓Full access to all daily analysis & forecasts ✓George Friedman's geopolitical insights ✓2026 Forecast & Special Collection on the Middle East ✓100% reader-supported Subscribe Now 30-day money-back guarantee Already a subscriber? Log in RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR Analysis Daily Memo: Starlink Disruption in South China Sea, Russia’s Footprint in Africa Americas Daily Memo: US Preparations for Iran Strike Continue Alongside Negotiations Analysis Daily Memo: Ukraine Peace Talks, Trade Uncertainty Latest Posts China and the Iran NegotiationsFREE Analysis George Friedman - April 6, 2026 Continue to the category Daily Memo: China Issues Peculiar Airspace Restrictions, Oil Cartel Raises Quotas Analysis Geopolitical Futures - April 6, 2026 George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here Analysis George Friedman - April 4, 2026