Home Analysis Evaluating a Rumor About Islamic State AnalysisRegional DirectoryMiddle East and North Africa Evaluating a Rumor About Islamic State By GPF Team - December 5, 2015 35 Dec. 5, 2015 A rumor has surfaced about a potential split in the Islamic State. This article is for subscribers only Join thousands of readers who rely on GPF for clear-eyed geopolitical analysis. $79 per year Save 27% vs. monthly ✓Full access to all daily analysis & forecasts ✓George Friedman's geopolitical insights ✓2026 Forecast & Special Collection on the Middle East ✓100% reader-supported Subscribe Now 30-day money-back guarantee Already a subscriber? Log in RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR Analysis Daily Memo: Starlink Disruption in South China Sea, Russia’s Footprint in Africa Americas Daily Memo: US Preparations for Iran Strike Continue Alongside Negotiations Analysis Daily Memo: Ukraine Peace Talks, Trade Uncertainty Latest Posts EU Economies Can’t Catch a BreakFREE Europe Geopolitical Futures - March 13, 2026 Continue to the category The War is Evolving: George Friedman on Miscalculations in IranFREE Video Geopolitical Futures - March 16, 2026 The Evolution of the Iran WarFREE Podcast Geopolitical Futures - March 16, 2026