By George Friedman
The United States struck a Syrian air base in retaliation for a Syrian chemical attack on a village. The attack raises a number of questions and a general observation on U.S. strategy under President Donald Trump.
The first question is why the Syrians carried out the attack. The explanation from the regime appears to be that it was attacking an al-Qaida weapons storage facility and the gas was released. This is not utterly impossible, but it is highly unlikely. Sarin gas is destroyed by high temperatures, and this can happen during an explosion. The probability of the gas surviving, being released, and dispersing through the village is low enough to be dismissed.
In this handout from the U.S. Navy, the guided-missile destroyer USS Porter fires a Tomahawk land attack missile on April 7, 2017 in the Mediterranean Sea. The USS Porter was one of two destroyers that fired a total of 59 cruise missiles at a Syrian military airfield in retaliation for a chemical