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Belarus Reaches Out to Poland and the EU

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko made a speech last week in which he appeared to be reaching out to the West. Belarus has been a...

The State of the War in Ukraine

A month and a half ago, right after the attempted Wagner coup, there appeared to be chaos in Moscow, with the future of President...

Five Eyes in Our Time

A few years ago, I was invited to a military meeting in Australia. When I walked into the room, I expected to see Australian...

Is Someone Out There?

Democrat Sen. Chuck Schumer and Republican Sen. Mike Rounds are filing legislation demanding that the federal government reveal the files on what it knows...

Why the US Is Threatening to Send Cluster Bombs to Ukraine

U.S. President Joe Biden announced last week that Washington will give Ukraine cluster bombs, adding with apparent emotion that the decision was enormously difficult...

Where Does Russia Stand Now?

There has been a great deal of talk that the Wagner Group's attempted insurrection over the weekend may have weakened Russian President Vladimir Putin....

Forecasts From ‘The Next 100 Years’: Al-Qaida and China

“The Next 100 Years” is the first book I wrote that was intended to be a serious forecasting book. Others followed, but this perfected...

Starting the New Forecast

It is time to reconsider the past and assess a forecast for the future. The forecasts we make concern the geopolitical system. They are...

A Convocation of Spies

Over the past weekend, major global media outlets revealed that the heads of intelligence of about two dozen countries held a (formerly) secret meeting...

Considering Maskirovka

Soon after Josef Stalin signed a mutual defense pact with Adolf Hitler, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill said that Russia was a mystery wrapped...

The Next Phase in the China-US Confrontation

Last week, I wrote about the major expansion of the U.S.-Philippine alliance, Japanese alignment with Taiwan and possible three-way links with South Korea, and...

Shifts in the Western Pacific

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visited Washington last week, where he signed what is essentially a collective defense agreement. In doing so, he sealed...

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