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Russia-US Negotiations Open the Next Phase Of Restructuring the World

From 1945 until the early 1990s, the global order was based on the hostility between the United States and the Soviet Union. It was...

America’s Sixth Socio-Economic Cycle

In my books “The Next 100 Years” and “The Storm Before the Calm,” I introduced a model of U.S. history consisting of political cycles...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

American Cycles and Uncertainty

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Spirit of America – Its People

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Weakness of Israel’s Approach to War

The Middle East has broken down into a state of extreme combat. The collapse of the system of governance throughout the region has opened...

Trump’s Place in US Political Cycles

As I wrote in my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” we tend to use presidencies as benchmarks to help us locate...

Iran and War

Last week, I wrote on the Middle East and promised a follow-up piece would come next. The U.S. election intruded. Now I’ll return to...

War Without Decision: In the Context of the Middle East – Part 1

The Middle East is in disarray, and it’s unclear if it can stabilize itself on its own. In many cases, a nation’s military can...

The Danger of Unfatal Wounds

“If you must wound someone, it is better to kill him.” I’ve encountered some version of this missive throughout the course of my career. And...

What Is a Superpower?

The end of the Cold War and the dismantling of what had been a bipolar world order raised the question of what exactly constitutes...

Russia’s Deliberately Unclear Strategy for Iran

Readers have no doubt noticed that much of my writing over the past two-and-a-half years has focused on Russia. Some of the reasons for...

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